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AGENDA #:
PREPARED BY:
SUBJECT:
DATE:
BACKGROUND:
DISCUSSION:
ISSUES:
STAFF AGENDA REPORT
C
~~ANK BOYLES, CITY MANAGE~)
FINAL MARKETING REPORT FOR COMMERCIAL, OFFICE,
INDUSTRIAL STUDY
OCTOBER 17, 1994
At the October 3 meeting the City Council reviewed Part 1 of the
Marketing Report for the Commercial, Office, Industrial Study. That report
identified the assumptions, data and projection techniques to be used in
Part 2 of the report. Part 2 of the report utilizes the data in Part 1 to draw
conclusions about the amount of acres that can be expected to develop
as commercial, office and industrial in Prior Lake between now and 2030.
During Mr. Krier's presentation of Part 1 of the report questions were
asked about the data which is being used. Specifically, questions arose
with respect to casino employment and existing square footage of
industrial development. We have double checked the casino employment
figures and find that the numbers recently provided by Bill Rudnicki do
correspond with those found in the Dun and Bradstreet Report.
Moreover, the industrial square footage does accurately correspond with
our office park in 1993. This study did not contemplate making a
comprehensive analysis of all types of land uses for 1994. Instead, the
1993 Dun and Bradstreet Report was to be used as the source of data.
Part 2 of the Report will be provided to the City Council by Mr. Krier at the
October 17 meeting. The Report will identify the amount of commercial,
office and industrial acreage which can be absorbed by the market within
Prior Lake. The report also identifies the most likely sites for commercial,
office and industrial development from the parcels contained in the Public
Affairs Consulting report. The recommendations will be presented both in
tabular and in graphic form so that Council will be able to observe both
the amount of commercial, office, industrial area and its most likely
location within the community.
Council members should be aware that projections beyond 2010 are
tenuous at best. The projections as Mr. Krier has previously indicated are
"straight line". Changes in technology or market conditions could
substantially alter these projections.
Council members should come to the meeting prepared with questions for
Mr. Krier. For example: Has too little or too much acreage been allocated
for one or more of the uses in the Study? Do Councilmembers concur
with the most likely location of the various land uses recognizing that
transportation access is the largest single variable in the location of
commercial, office and industrial. Councilmembers may also wish to
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inquire about the type of retail contemplated. For example: could more or
less neighborhood, community or regional retail be justified? Dick's report
does not recommend a "conference center" on the lake because of
inadequate access. Perhaps the use Councilmembers have had in mind
is better defined as a resort or retreat. Does the Council wish to retain
this commercial land use?
ALTERNATIVES:
The options are:
1. Accept the report as submitted.
2. Accept the report with modifications.
3. Direct that additional analysis be completed.
RECOMMENDATION: Alternate #1 or #2. Mr. Krier notes that the report is not cast in concrete.
The Council can move proposed office, commercial or industrial land
allocations around to meet anticipated city needs. The Council could add
additional acres of office, commercial and industrial land allocations as it
sees fit which exceed the expected market needs.
ACTION REQUIRED: If the Council adopts the report, the next step will be to consider the
transition to residential areas to correspond with the new non-residential
uses. Once completed, this data will be submitted to the City's
transportation consultants to assess its impact upon future roadways.
Similarly impacts upon city sewer and water systems will be evaluated.
Taken together these steps will move us ahead in the preparation of the
2010 Comprehensive Plan.
AGND7BWRT
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