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HomeMy WebLinkAbout4C - Hwy 42 Comp Plan AmendmentPRIq v 4646 Dakota Street SE Prior Lake, MN 55372 �rNNEs��� PLANNING COMMISSION AGENDA REPORT MEETING DATE: SEPTEMBER 3, 2013 AGENDA #: 4C PREPARED BY: DAN ROGNESS, COMMUNITY & ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR PRESENTED BY: DAN ROGNESS PUBLIC HEARING: YES AGENDA ITEM: A PUBLIC HEARING TO CONSIDER RECOMMENDING A 2030 COMPRE- HENSIVE PLAN AMENDMENT RELATED TO LAND USE AND TRANSPOR- TATION PLAN CHANGES WITHIN THE COUNTY HIGHWAY 42 STUDY AREA DISCUSSION: Introduction The purpose of this item is to begin the formal review process of amending the city's 2030 Comprehensive Plan by conducting a public hearing. The proposed amendment relates to the final draft County Highway 42 Study Area Plan com- pleted by WSB & Associates. History A 6 -month development moratorium was approved by the City Council lasting through September 16 to allow further study of approximately 1,150 acres along the County Highway 42 corridor in Prior Lake. WSB and the City held an open house for property owners on Tuesday, June 4th. Ajoint meeting was then sched- uled on June 17th to allow the city's consultant to provide preliminary conclusions on this corridor to the City Council, Planning Commission and EDA. A final presentation by WSB was given to the City Council at a Work Session on July 22 before submitting its final draft report to the city. Current Circumstances City staff has outlined a process to complete the full review and approval process to include the Planning Commission, City Council and Metropolitan Council as follows: August 12 ... City Council resolution directing the Planning Commission to conduct a public hearing. August 20 ... Letter sent notifying adjacent communities/jurisdictions. August 21 ... Legal notice sent to newspaper for public hearing. Sept. 3 ... Planning Commission holds public hearing (Tues. meet- ing due to holiday). Sept. 9 ... City Council approves WSB Report and Comprehensive Plan amendments; considers extension of the moratorium through December. Sept. 16 ... Submit application to the Met Council (assuming all adja- cent community responses have been received). Sept. 16 ... Moratorium ends (unless extended by the City Council) Nov. 15 ... 60 -day review period by the Met Council ends (unless fur- ther extended). The first attachment provides an overall summary of the proposed changes to the 2030 Comprehensive Plan, including conclusions related to land uses, zon- ing districts and transportation. Unlike the 2030 Plan, further recognition is be- ing given to land that is owned by SMSC and land that is in some type of public or semi-public use. Those same recognitions will likely carry forth to all of Prior Lake when the city begins the 2040 planning process. The second attachment provides the final report by WSB & Associates, which becomes the basis for proposing amendments to the 2030 Comprehensive Plan. The consultant's analysis demonstrates that a plan amendment is war- ranted due to changes in the community since 2005, including such things as the County Highway 21 connection to CSAH 42, the elimination of previously approved plans such as Summit Preserve, additional land acquisitions by SMSC, and the need to re-examine input from property owners and the public due to recent economic changes. The third attachment identified specific amendments proposed in the 2030 Comprehensive Plan. These relate to two sections in the Plan, including: • Chapter 3. Land Use Element • Chapter 5. Transportation Conclusion Staff will review the summary, report and proposed amendments with Commis- sioners at the public hearing. The Planning Commission will be asked to make a recommendation to the City Council, which must then be forwarded to the Metropolitan Council for its review and approval. ISSUES: The City Council will have to decide whether or not to extend the existing 6 - month moratorium for a specified time period. ALTERNATIVES: 1. Motion and a second to recommend approval of the 2013 County Highway 42 Study Land Use and Transportation Plan, and the proposed amendments to the 2030 Comprehensive Plan, as may be further amended by the Com- missioners. 2. Motion and a second to recommend denial of the study and/or amendments. 3. Motion and second to table action and request staff to provide additional in- formation as directed by the Commissioners. RECOMMENDED Staff recommends Alternative #1 MOTION: ATTACHMENTS: 1. Summary of Proposed Plan Amendments 2. Final County Highway 42 Study by WSB & Associates 3. Proposed Amendments to the 2030 Comprehensive Plan SUMMARY OF 2030 COMPREHENSIVE PLAN AMENDMENT Prior Lake, Minnesota Based on 2013 County Road 42 Study — Land Use & Transportation Plan 2030 Comprehensive Plan Land Uses (2005): 2030 Comprehensive Plan Residential Vacant Land (2005): GROSS NET UNITS/ HOUSING CO. HWY. 42 ACRES PLANNED DEVELOPED VACANT STUDY AREA -------- -- 4,023 TOTAL ACRES ACRES ACRES TOTAL ACRES Residential: ------------------- 4.1 --------------- --------------- ------------------ Rural Density 153 (1.0%) 105 48 0 Low Density 7,674 (50.2%) 3,651 4,023 600 Medium Density 409 (2.7%) 36 373 18 High Density 319 (2.1%) 127 192 138 SUBTOTAL 8,155 (56.0%) 3,919 4,636 756 Commercial: Neighborhood Retail 33 (0.2%) 20 13 20 Community Retail 508 (3.3%) 87 421 120 Hospitality General 102 (0.7%) 94 8 6 Town Center 43 (0.3%) 43 0 0 Transitional Center 14 (0.1%) 14 0 0 SUBTOTAL 700 (4.6%) 258 442 146 Industrial: Business Office Park 265 (1.7%) 40 225 203 Planned Industrial 528 (3.5%) 160 368 0 SUBTOTAL 793 (5.2%) 200 593 203 Other: Parks & Open Space 926 (6.1%) Right -of -Way 1,317 (8.6%) Lakes 2,396 (15.7%) SMSC Trust Land 594 (3.9%) SUBTOTAL 5,233 (34.2%) 15,281 (100%) 4,377 5,671 1,105 2030 Comprehensive Plan Residential Vacant Land (2005): GROSS NET UNITS/ HOUSING ACRES ACRES ACRE UNITS Low Density -------- -- 4,023 ----------- 2,816 ---------- 2.0 ---------- 5,632 Medium Density 373 261 4.1 1,071 High Density 192 ---------- 134 ---------- 7.1 954 ---------- County Highway 42 Study Area (2013): 2030 PLAN AMENDED GROSS GROSS CHANGE RESIDENTIAL ACRES ACRES ACRES ---------------------- Low Density ---------- 600 ----------- 593 ---------- ( 7 ) Medium Density 18 172 154 High Density 138 91 ( 47 ) TOTAL ---------- 756 ---------- 856 ---------- 100 2030 PLAN AMENDED HOUSING HOUSING CHANGE NET RESIDENTIAL UNITS UNITS UNITS DENSITY ---------------------- Low Density ---------- 840 ----------- 831 ---------------------- ( 9) --- Medium Density 52 493 441 --- High Density 686 452 ( 234) --- ------------ TOTAL --- ------ 1,578 ---------- 1,776 ---------- 198 2.96 units/acre 2030 PLAN AMENDED GROSS GROSS CHANGE COMMERCIAL ACRES ACRES ACRES ---------------------- Neighborhood ---------- 20 ----------- 0 ---------- ( 20 ) Community 120 180 60 Hospitality 6 0 ( 6 ) TOTAL ---------- 146 ---------- 180 ---------- 34 2030 PLAN AMENDED GROSS GROSS CHANGE INDUSTRIAL ACRES ACRES ACRES ---------------------- Business Park ---------- 203 ----------- 0 ---------- ( 203 ) Industrial 0 0 0 ---------- 203 ---------- ---------- ( 203 ) 2030 PLAN AMENDED GROSS GROSS CHANGE OTHER ACRES ACRES ACRES ---------------------- Public/Semi-Public ---------- 0 ----------- 70 ---------- 70 Land Use Change Conclusions: 1. Total residential land use acreage is increased by 100 gross acres, resulting in nearly 200 more housing units. Net acres results from multiplying gross acres by 70%. 2. Of the total amended 856 residential acres, 162 of those are located in the Mixed Use areas (by percent) compared to 253 acres located in designated Low Density areas. 3. The Met Council requires that the average net density be at or above 3.0 dwelling units per acre; therefore, the amended residential density must maintain that figure. 4. The Low Density designation is staying essentially the same while the High Density designation is decreasing by nearly 35% (in terms of acres). In order to maintain the density, the Medium Density designation will increase dramatically from 18 to 172 acres. The number of Low Density housing units stays essentially the same; the Medium Density units increase nearly ten -fold; and the High Density units decrease by 35%. 5. The five Mixed Use designations include varied (approximate) mixes of housing units: • Area #1 (86 acres, Pike Lake area) = 50% Low Density + 25% High Density • Area #2 (66 acres, Vierling south) = 25% Medium Density + 25% High Density • Area #3 (207 acres, Vierling north) = 25% Low Density + 50% Medium Density • Area #4 (49 acres, Summit Preserve) = 75% Medium Density • Area #5 (182 acres, SMSC) = 75% Low Density 6. Commercial land uses increase nearly 35 acres, or by 25%, compared to Industrial land uses (Business Park) decreasing approximately 200 acres; no future industrial or business park land is included in the amended plan, which is replaced by commercial. 7. All but 15 of the 180 acres of Commercial designation are located in a portion of all Mixed Use designations. The percentages are listed below: • Area #1 (86 acres, Pike Lake area) = 25% Commercial • Area #2 (66 acres, Vierling south) = 50% Commercial • Area #3 (207 acres, Vierling north) = 25% Commercial • Area #4 (49 acres, Summit Preserve) = 25% Commercial • Area #5 (182 acres, SMSC) = 25% Commercial 8. The amended plan adds a new land use category, Public/Semi-Public, to recognize those areas that are designated for some public use, including parks, ponding, wetlands and other public/semi-public uses; 70 acres of land is designated in that category which had been previously designated within other land use designations. Zoning Use Districts: If the Comprehensive Plan amendment is approved by the City and the Met Council, two options are possible in terms of zoning districts that may relate to the Mixed Use areas. Most of the Mixed Use areas are currently zoned Agricultural in recognition of their current use. 1. Utilize existing zoning districts, recognizing that the PUD Use District would be preferable for larger land areas with more than one land use and/or housing type. For example, a Mixed Use area with 75% Medium Density Residential and 25% Commercial could be developed all under a PUD, or 75% could be developed as R-2 (Medium Density), and 25% as C-2 (General Business). 2. Develop one or more zoning districts that better match the intent of a Mixed Use land use designation. Transportation Plan: The 2030 Comprehensive Plan includes a "Proposed Roadway System Plan with Functional Classifications" map that will be amended within the County Highway 42 study area. The primary changes include: 1. Carriage Hills Parkway is proposed to be realigned to intersect with County Highway 21 at Fountain Hills (across from Fire Station 2). Fountain Hills from the east will then connect as a t -intersection. 2. Carriage Hills Parkway will continue to be an important east -west collector south of County Highway 42 with a north -south link through undeveloped property owned by Bolger and Shepherd. 3. Pike Lake Road north of County Highway 42 is proposed to bend further east of Pike Lake and then continue as an east -west collector to County Highway 18. That roadway will continue east of CSAH 18 to connect with a street in Savage north of the previous Summit Preserve planned area. 4. A planned intersection on County Highway 21 approximately % mile north of County Highway 42 will link to collector streets both east and west. To the east, the collector will link back south to CSAH 42 due to Pike Lake with an optional connection easterly to Pike Lake Road. To the west, the collector will link to North Berens Road and then continue through SMSC property further west to County Highway 83. 1-6 -V- 0 NE 50 County Highway 42 Study Land Use and Transportation Plan August 29,2013 WSB 701 Xenia Avenue South, Suite 300 A Minneapolis, MN 55416 Tel: (763) 541-4800 - Fax: (763) 541-1700 & A ...... wsbeng.com . ............. WSB 701 Xenia Avenue South, Suite 300 A Minneapolis, MN 55416 Tel: (763) 541-4800 - Fax: (763) 541-1700 & A ...... wsbeng.com County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Prior Lake has historically been described as a small town, resort community, with development focused around Prior Lake. However, the city's location in the Twin Cities metro area has positioned it for growth pressure, due to its proximityto downtown Minneapolis (less than 20 miles), good access to the interstate and highway system, and the availability of natural and commercial amenities. Between 1980 and 2000, the City of Prior Lake more than doubled in population, from 7,000 to almost 16,000 residents (see Figure 1). The Metropolitan Council's estimated population for 2030 is 40,000 residents which, as evidenced by Figure 1, would stay on track with historical increases in population over the last 30 years. 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 • --o-- Projected Population (Met Council) 20,000 --11--Actual Population 15,000 10,000 5,000 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Figure 1. Population Trends- City of Prior Lake WSB & Assao,l-, In,. Introduction/ 1 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake However, the past five years have brought many adjustments in the national and regional development markets, both in the housing and commercial sectors. Regionally, the Twin Cities saw a 75 percent drop in residential housing permits between 2004 and 2008, which put a downward strain on the economy as a whole. The City of Prior Lake experienced a similar slowdown in the rapid residential growth it had experienced throughout the 1990s and 2000s (Figure 2), which resulted in an over -prediction of future housing and commercial developmentfor2010 and beyond. Itis necessaryfor the cityto re -analyze its population and employment projections to accommodate these market corrections and to plan for the future. 900 800 700 500 Soo 400 Residential Building AL Permits .800 200 100 - o -; --. o r-1 N m'r* Ln C4 65 o r -i N 0 0 0 0 o Q o a o v ri r -i r -i 0 0 o v o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N M N N N N N N Figure 2. 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Data sources were broken into three categories: Parkland and Rare Natural Features, Surface Waters, and Soils and Slopes. Figure 4 summarizes the environmental data collected and analyzed The natural resources data reviewed were obtained from the following resources: • MN Department of Natural Resources (DNR) • US Fish and Wildlife Service (US FWS) • Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) • City of Prior Lake • Natural Resource Conservation Service (NRCS) • MN Pollution Control Agency (PCA) The DNR's Natural Heritage Information System (NNIS) for Scott County revealed a Maple -Basswood forest located north of County Highway 42 in Section 22 of Township 115N, Range 22W. A WSB It is recommended that impacts to this area be avoided or minimized to the greatest extent practicable. The US FWS Section 7 Consultation Website was also reviewed. No Federally -listed species are present within Scott County. Existing Conditions/ 4 i r• � 4 VJ Emmons m Is .., lrsl y � NON r ■■ e 2S TO, °w -S!a'•.Ie:IIrN �' _� �� 4 �^ ' •I�k � 7 � ' y�,, yyqq I r✓il\A4 Av W4 lIX, Ll Lrl IL to d--•'s.v- ` stief11V41ove r i t � z� 1 ' i r fir, ,��� •$$ ��.4 .p� t G1 y. 1 � 1 f • � h M e� y 4' ill 11! 3 z ire [rot � �. .�`•. '- f' - . County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Zk Pike Lake Surface Water Data on the surface waters present within the study area were obtained from the US FWS, DNR, and FEMA. The City of Prior Lake's Shoreland Ordinance was also reviewed. Various types of surface waters exist within the study area. The US FWS National Wetlands Inventory was reviewed and 104 NWI wetlands, covering 189 acres of land, exist within the study area. If impacts to these wetlands are proposed, approvals and replacement may be required through the Wetland Conservation Act and US Army Corps of Engineers. The DNR Public Waters Inventory maps were reviewed and nine PWI wetlands were identified within the study area. These wetlands comprise 104 acres of land. There is also a DNR Public Watercourse adjacent to the study area. A WSB Parks Two parks are located within the study area. Pike Lake Nature Area is a nature area located northeast of the County Highway 42 and County Highway 21 intersection. The park covers approximately 47 acres and provides several passive recreational op- portunities. The park was developed with LAWCON funding, and is therefore protected under Section 6(f) of the Land and Water Conservation Act. Horkey Park at Shepard's Path is also located within the study area. It covers 15.8 acres and includes a picnic shelter, walking trail, and is a nature preserve. This Park is covered under Section 4(f) of the Department of Transportation Act. Contaminated Property The MN PCA's What's In My Neighborhood web application was used to perform a desktop review of potentially contaminated areas. Based on the results of the desktop review, there are no potentially contaminated sites within the study area. Federal Emergency Management Agency floodplain maps were reviewed and an area around Pike Lake was identified as being within the 100 -year floodplain. Impacts to 100 -year floodplain may be required to be mitigated for within the same floodplain area. The City of Prior Lake's Shoreland Ordinance was also reviewed. The Shoreland Ordinance applies to any land within 1,000 feet of a Public Water. Within the study area, this applies to Pike Lake, Jeffers Pond, Haas Lake, and Lower Prior Lake. Structures within the Shoreland Ordinance zone must be set back 75 feet from the Ordinary High Water level (as determined by the DNR) of the waterbody. In addition, no more than 30 percent of land cover within this zone may be impervious when used for residential purposes. Existing Conditions/ 6 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Soils The NRCS Soil Survey of Scott County and LIDAR (remote sensing technology) data were used to determine areas that may be difficultto develop. Soils were generally considered correctable from a development standpoint. Slopes above 18 percent were identified as areas where transportation networks may be difficultto construct. Slopes above 25 percent were identified as areas where development in general may be difficult. A WSB City of Prior Lake Land Use Study Area includes 1,105 acres of land. The existing land use is primarily agricultural and vacant land, butthere are also several hundreds of acres that are wetland, lakes, and publicly -owned parkland. The City's Comprehensive Plan, completed in 2005, guided the property in the study area for a variety of land uses, including low, medium, and high density residential uses, business officepark, neighborhood and community level retail, and hospitality. The Comprehensive Plan is the guiding policy documentfor all decision making within the City. It contains goals, objectives and policies to guide public and private land use development, redevelopment and preservation of all lands and waters within the City. The City's goals are centered on housing quality and diversity, environmental and natural resource protection, economic vitality, security, access, information technology, human development, infra- structure, urban expansion area, and efficiency in government. The City identifies current land uses, analyzes growth projections, and makes future land use determinations. The future land use map is the primarytool used to guide future development on individual parcels. The text and policies in the com- prehensive plan are reflected in the Zoning Ordinance and other official development controls. A variety of different future land uses make up the study area along the County Highway 42 corridor. Existing Conditions/ 7 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Low Density Residential (R -LD) 600 acres — This land use designation is primarily for detached single family homes at densities of 0-4 dwelling units per acre, as well as schools, churches, recreational space and public buildings. Single family attached units in cluster developments or mixed use developments may be permitted through issuance of a conditional use permit or planned unit developments. Low density residential is optimal for areas with variable terrain or for environmentally sensitive resources. They are generally served by neighborhood parks and are buffered from commercial and industrial uses. Medium Density Residential (R -MD) 18 acres — This land use designation provides an opportunity for a wider range of housing options at slightly higher densities than the low density residential designation. Single family homes, cluster developments and planned unit developments at densities between 4.1 and 7.1 units per acre are typical for this land use. Areas designated for medium density residential are intended to be in close proximity to employment and transit centers and have good access to collector streets. The also serve as a transition between low density residential areas and commercial and industrial areas. A WSB City of Prior Lake High Density Residential (R -HD) 138 acres — These areas are primarily intended for attached homes and apartments at densities of 7.1-20 dwelling units per acre. They help to create population centers and provide opportunities for affordable housing. They are generally located near employment and transit centers and have good access to collector streets. High density residential areas typically serve as a buffer from traffic from commercial and industrial areas. Business Office Park (C -BO) 203 acres - This land use designation is intended to serve a combination of small professional services with low traffic generation. Higher design standards promote compatibility with adjacent high density housing and provide opportu- nities for shared parking and open space. Some typical uses might include corporate headquarters, professional and administrative offices, and limited research, development and manufacturing facilities. Restaurants, hotels and other businesses having limited contact with the public and where no retail sales are conducted may also be appropriate as conditional uses. These areas are typically located near arterial access points, such as intersections of arterials and/or major collector streets. Existing Conditions/ 8 -0 +aa--�+ a � � o an EJ O CdiO° LNL U E O o -M o O o o O a> > Lo CO Flii CO d > C13 d O d O O O_U yO C O U E Oi uCn i O O Oca- O N Q N L C C d O N CO CO CO CO Cn U CO CO ._ CO CO U E O o E E + N cm O O Z C.) 2 �i County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Transportation Background The transportation network provides access to the various land uses and amenities within a community. It also provides connections to adjacent communities and to the greater Twin Cities metropolitan area. Because transportation, be it roadway, transit, pedestrian/bicycle, plays a critical role in how a community is served, planning for changes and upgrades to that overall network it is an important part of any community's comprehensive plan. It also requires coordination and cooperation with multiple agencies to ensure that transportation needs are being met. Unlike land use, which the City of Prior Lake has jurisdiction over, the transportation network has multiple owners. Some roadways are developed and maintained by the city, while others are controlled by Scott County or the Minnesota Department of Transportation (MnDOT). The transit system and bicycle and pedestrian networks can also be developed by the city and by outside agencies such as the county and Metro Transit. County Highway 42 is one of the city's most important roadways — however, it is owned and maintained by Scott County. Part of the reason that it is operated by the county is due the role it plays in linking communities and other transportation facilities. County Highway 42 provides an east -west connection to several communities, including the Cities of Savage and Shakopee. Beyond Scott County, the highway A WSB links to Burnsville, Apple Valley and Rosemount. In addition to linking to other communities, County Highway 42 links to other important transportation facilities such as trunk highway (TH) 13 and County Highways 17, 83, 21 and 18. Because of its role in the transportation network, Scott County has invested significant resources in studying County Highway 42 and developing long-term recommendations for its design, the amount and type of access and the supporting transportation facilities that are needed in order to ensure that it will continue to serve demand into the future in a safe and efficient manner. The county has developed the long-term recommendations with the assistance of the communities along the corridor in order to ensure that the planned land can be adequately served. Some of the studies initiated by the county occurred before the City of Prior Lake last updated its comprehensive plan (1999 study; 2004 maps for the city's comprehensive plan) and other studies occurred after the city adopted its comprehensive plan. Transportation/ 10 % >j CO N Ur U .NCn .� ,pO LJ dCO U -C3 CO C13 .Oi O C13 N CGO U ..- CCO d �d Q -d C Ca' C13 i U i CO d� •- U U COZNO � i CO O .� >. •� -- i d i O O O O_ CO d O N C O Q O i CO CO Y Cn C CO O i O d d d CC '� C U O) d >' C N CO d d N >� cu d 3 W d -0 a--+ cts � O � �_ � �+ E � CC U p � O_ O d U m E O O Cn � . > •�, i i0 Cn d -0 U O CP d O_ L >� -0 O p CSO o CO O U :* M0 li O O_ CO O I.L fn CO O C I ca C .� ca i ca ca O O_ +O � O Q} O U County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Collector (both major and minor) roadways provide linkages to larger developments and community amenities. They generally do not link communities to one another. Collector roadways generally favor access to the system over mobility, buttheytry to balance to two competing needs. Collector roadways are generally lower speed than the principal or minor arterial routes. Collector roadways are usually owned and operated by cities, although counties have some of these facilities. Local roadways provide connections to individual homes and commercial uses. These roadways favor access over mobility and provide short linkages within communities. These roadways are owned by cities and townships. The City of Prior Lake's transportation plan identifies County Highway 42 as an existing principal arterial route from the city's eastern border to County Highway 18 (Crest Avenue NE). It shows it as a future principal arterial route to County Highway 21 (Eagle Creek Avenue NE) in the future. West of County Highway 21 it shows County Highway 42 as a minor arterial route. The transportation plan also identifies a future County Highway 21 corridor to the north and the addition of major and minor collector routes parallel and connecting to County Highway 42. Roadway Network and Access — Scott County Since the city's comprehensive plan was completed there have been additional studies completed and updates to Scott County's comprehensive plan. These studies and comprehensive plan amendments have made some changes to the functional classifi- cation of county highways and have included access modifications to County Highway 42. Changes have included the following: Scott County, along with MnDOT and the Cities of Savage and Prior Lake completed a corridor study in 2008 which identified access locations along County Highway 42 from County Highway 21 through the City of Savage. Maximum allowable access identified in the City of Prior Lake included the following: • County Highway 21— full access with a traffic signal - Pike Lake Road — full access with a traffic signal WSB City of Prior Lake • Rolling Oaks — right-in/out access • Meadowlawn Road —full access with a traffic signal • Ferndale Avenue —three-quarter access • County Highway 18—full access with a traffic signal • New connection —(east of County Highway 18) right-in/out access • Aspen Avenue —full access with a traffic signal • Kensington/Meadow Avenue — right-in/out It should be noted that the maximum allowable access is what the future could accommodate. Traffic signals will not be installed until they meet the required traffic signal warrants. Following the 2008 County Highway 42 study, Scott County made changes to its comprehensive plan. These changes included: • County Highway 42 has been designated as an existing principal arterial route to County Highway 21. • County Highway 42 has been designated as a future principal arterial route through the entire City of Prior Lake. • County Highway 21 north of County Highway 42 has been constructed and has been designat- ed as a principal arterial route. Because the county extended the principal arterial designation beyond County Highway 21, new access strategies will be required for roadways west of County Highway 21. Figure 7 on the following page shows existing access as well as the access strategies identified in the 1999 and 2008 plans. The Scott County CIP also calls for expansion of County Highway 83 from two lanes to four lanes between Wilds Parkway and County Highway 82 with Transportation/ 12 CB Cl) •V cc o j= a o> y > o y Q u cc Cl) CM ccO 0 Cc CL °3 0 x a C)CO 00 Cl) `' CD o o Ena� cc '�+ p0 >- In U — Cn i� CC cc r CC Cl) Cl) N iV c Cl) Cl) O O O - +-' C O >� O_ U -M CD LN i O U L O 7 Cl) Cl) C/) Cl) U CB CO i O O) ,` D CC C--) L O O Ocl) CIOCl) Cl) CC Cl) CB CC O I CQ cix'v.�.'� o >x Q a�.E E o � � '"Y I►Y+CY O O O amµ, I - — I Cs c ��' r,� an.P'•'a i i £L O 0 0 (U C c (6 (p C Ca n 0 O N CL o sz (n ) i d C UN (n Z (6 C t U6 CL vNi U Q vNi vNi U U Q Q n m o U CL J U U U n Q L C U Ci O®O♦o Ci LL 0 c') U) U U ; O d IL ® <.� O amµ, I - — I Cs c ��' r,� an.P'•'a i i £L O 0 LO Li - N U CU Cn O _ i d U +_+ CO 'O i a N ' ai Z O C O V O C - a --'p O L H O d IL ® <.� O +� +� 1 \� d N N CO U d U O d Q cc U Cn G1 ® + c O) . s " " CD Z +�+ H O IL a cn C O CN 0 LO Li - U N O CE C U^ IL ® <.� O a o 0 . o) \� C m o E UW E Q— o o C)O -- S a ® LO N > ` T N 9 o—tea o > o N I 1 w O � „_,•n ,Y I c N a®® O O '••P ♦ �s N 2 ® U ,i oar-xsuas,a.; O O O O O O o s, - N O U N O --------------------------- U^ `I County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake a multiuse trail. CH 83 is currently four lanes from County Highway 42 to Wilds Parkway with a multiuse trail. The project is scheduled for 2015 and will provide additional capacity and pedestrian and bike connections between County Highway 42 and County Highway 82. This project is being led by the efforts of the Shakopee Mdewakauton Sioux Community. Longer-term, the county's plans include for widening County Highway 42 to four lanes through the City of Prior Lake and into the City of Shakopee. The expansion is currently planned for 2020. Future Network and Access — City and County This study reviews the access identified in the 1999 and 2008 studies in context with the new principal arterial designation for the whole corridor through the community. It will also review the supporting collector roadway network identified in the city's comprehensive plan to ensure that it can supportthe proposed development along County Highway 42 and takes into account environmental constraints and property owner input. As part of the review, future traffic volumes will be identified on the existing and proposed transportation network. At the base level, it is assumed thatthe county and city would work together to preserve the right of way needed to accommodate an eventual six -lane facility on County Highway 42 with separated multi -use trails on both sides of the corridor to support pedestrian and bicycle mobility. Market Demand The Commercial Market The Prior Lake Commercial and Industrial Demand Analysis (Maxfield, 2011) was prepared to provide insight into future market conditions and demands for commercial and industrial development within the City of Prior Lake, not just the study area. The study projects what an additional 900,000 square feet will be needed to meet the demand for retail, office and industrial space through 2030. This is a 72 percent increase from the 1.25 million square feet that existed in 2011. Approximately 100 to 120 acres of land will be needed to accommodate this additional space. These statistics are based on economic and demographic trends, as well as the existing commercial supply and market conditions. The table below breaks down the type of demand projected over five year increments. FIGURE 8. Commercial and Industrial Summary 2010-2030 According to the 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan, the County Highway 42 Study Area contains 145 acres of land slated to be zoned for commercial (mostly community retail) and 200 acres slated to be zoned for Business Office Park. Much of the planned industrial property lies outside of current City boundaries and is slated to be annexed in 2014. Therefore, it is necessary to re-examine the need for business office parks in the study area. A WSB Transportation/ 14 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 Total Retail 55, 000 125,000 125,000 125,000 125,000 Office 45,000 100,000 75,000 75,000 295,000 strial 20,000 40,000 60,000 1260,000 60,000 180,000 El 120,000 1265,000 260,000 1905,000 FIGURE 8. Commercial and Industrial Summary 2010-2030 According to the 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan, the County Highway 42 Study Area contains 145 acres of land slated to be zoned for commercial (mostly community retail) and 200 acres slated to be zoned for Business Office Park. Much of the planned industrial property lies outside of current City boundaries and is slated to be annexed in 2014. Therefore, it is necessary to re-examine the need for business office parks in the study area. A WSB Transportation/ 14 County Road 42 Study - Land Use and Transportation Plan The anticipated demand for industrial development suggests smaller manufacturers, construction firms, and wholesale companies with less than 10 employees and will need 10,000 square feet or less. The study concludes new development of industrial space may be limited by the large amount of space being marketed in the area. Given Prior Lake's proximity to larger regional shopping areas, increased demand for future retail space will be gradual and will be predicated on what happens in places such as Burnsville, Shakopee, and Lakeville. The demand for retail space will likely grow in direct relation to the growth of the local population. The Maxfield study reports a retail leakage in 2010 of 53 percent. Leakage is the concept that demand for retail in the city will be developed in other cities. The analysis suggests that reduced leakage from Prior Lake will result from new small to medium size stores that serve the local population with goods and services and could be accommodated on land along County Highway 42. Based on the 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan, the land designated for future retail development is ideally situated all along the corridor. It is, however, important to note that planning for future retail along County Highway 42 may put negative pressure on small to medium retailers located in downtown Prior Lake. WSB City of Prior Lake Based on the estimated demand for additional office space, the land slated for future Business Office Parks at the corner of County Highway 42 and County Highway 18, and the corner of County Highway 42 and County Highway 21 will not be necessary. Both sites have direct access to U.S. Highway 169 and are well -located for Business Office Parks. However, given the anticipated need for smaller businesses serving the local population and business base, the Business Office Park slated for the corner of County Highway 42 and County Highway 21 would be more ideal. Another piece of valuable information regarding the commercial market is to examine employment data for Prior Lake. Figure 9 summarizes the changes in employment over time. Employment numbers have remained relatively low despite population increase. In fact employment decreased between 2000 to 2010, when population increased 43 percent (almost 7,000 people) over the same time period. This indicates thatthe employment market is currently weak in Prior Lake, although it is anticipated that employment will grow by 2030. The EDA business plan anticipates a growth of 1,800 new jobs in Prior Lake between 2011 and 2030. 14,000 12,000 10,000 *���+• 8,000 — f - Protected Employment 6,000 Met Council] �W—Actual Employment 4,000 2,000 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 201D 2020 2030 figure Y. employment Growt Transportation/ 15 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan 350 300 250 200 tResidential Building 150 Permits 100 50 - 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2011 Figure 10. Residential Building Permits Isssued (Prior Lake) 25000 20000 15000 --W—Residential Building 10000 Permits 50oo 0, 2004 2006 2008 2010 2011 Figure 11. Residential Building Permits (Twin Cities Metro) - Figure 12. Prior Lake Residential Building Permits byType WSB City of Prior Lake The Housing Market As part of this study, available data related to housing starts, population, and employment were analyzed at city, county, and regional levels. Given the housing market slump for the past five years, it is important to consider both long-term trends and very short-term rebounds) rather than analyzing mid-term housing trends. Figures 10 and 11 depict a summary of permits issued in Prior Lake and the Twin Cities from the past 10 years. These graphs show a similar trend in new housing starts. The housing market bottomed out in 2008/2009 at a low of less than 25 percent at its peak, but has begun to recover, gaining back to about 50 percent of the housing starts in 2011/2012 as the peak of the market in 2004. This is consistent when looking at the region, or Prior Lake. Over the past 12 years Prior Lake has, on average, issued 272 building permits per year. However, given changes in demographics regionally, and the current demand for new housing, this study concludes that 272 new housing starts per year is not likely; the number will be lower. The demand for single-family housing will remain strong, as evidenced by the consistent construction of single-family housing even in the years of least construction (see Figure 12) but the amount oftownhome and apartment development will be weak in the near future. Therefore, our study uses an average of 150 to 180 new housing starts per year when analyzing the needs for additional land in the study area. Transportation/ 16 @ >, } 4-- c i ai c U o -0 m a5 }cc C13 Cc a) O a) �U-0 � > a"'-0•2 +, cp E� O m cn N c cc 0 — cn OCU cc U N 0 Od O_ • N N O cDcn O_ O_ U Q c/) U E O_ 3: -a E =+, 'Cl \I/ Q E U E- E +c.3 O County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan FA - PRI Off,, J m ''NES��� Plans For The Future Prior Lake 2030 Vision and Strategic Plan City of Prior Lake The 2030 Vision and Strategic Plan identifies the community's vision for the city, and provides a broad blueprint on how to get there. One area specifically mentioned in the plan that is within the study area is the Vierling & Summit Preserve (at County Highway 21 and 42). The area is envisioned as a business incubator and technology village, including a community college, conference center and resort hotel at the lake, all connected by trails. The plan goes into further detail to describe the vision for specific areas. The 2030 vision for this area is described as "a 22nd century, high technology village for living, working and playing". It will include a mix of single family homes, apartments and senior housing and cater toward high end commercial stores such as "REI, Whole Foods, Haskell's and Hockey Giant". A WSB "The Vierling Property (at County Rd. 42 and Pike Lake Tr.) is an example of a complete eco -friendly and healthy -living neighborhood. A mix of single family homes, multi -family housing and daily - needs -based businesses are connected in a pe- destrian -friendly, self-sustaining community within a community. The Vierling Property (at County Rd. 21 and 42) is a mix of retail and family units. The historical significance of farming and natural environment features like water and rolling hills are incorporated into development designs. Trails intersect with the existing trail system." Plans For The Future/ 18 y/l C J w F' r yyy Cir'=¢ - ud0'. ' � _5 �_� � • # 3®/ 11- y} • vest A:e N4 ,� � . ;; N sPLW+474rW1- 5s°�e Lrr E r c z ofim '1 . r µ 3N U I P°p RWP� a ani-lFxiuT�pn2 H 3N ahb3y - g •- S'A7'alaPPrN 21 J ra- •yliut�ruvac:�'"IL.,�'... i. ...SI�111�We�� _ _ 1 � Ili x � .L - Y Y+'- 8luetisd TIO, I`r 'nd pooua5ey ikx ua . T—LNE=a-�— l I s I �. �S -•�1 � I2 I 5 11 J V u e I O _; 3M up ofielue� c -_ (Iai1 NE - � m ..� ezuuaN,w .. ' i �e�yaMs... ry�`as County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan FA - PRI Off,, J m ''NES��� Prior Lake Economic Development Authority Business Plan The Prior Lake EDA Business Plan is a document intended to guide the EDA towards achieving the City's vision with regard to economic development. The City's goals regarding jobs and businesses added and increase in market value are described as follows. The "Base" figures are projections based on normal market conditions while the "New" figures represent increases beyond the historical average. A goal of the EDA is to work towards increasing the number of pad -ready sites for commercial and industrial development. The City has a significant WSB City of Prior Lake amount of property guided for commercial and industrial use; however, little of it can be development ready within 30-90 days. The EDA has compiled a commercial and industrial land inventory to manage this task and utilizes the 2011 Maxfield C/I demand analysis report to project demands for commercial and industrial land. The EDA will continue to evaluate actions necessary to make more sites pad -ready to meet potential demands. This effort is estimated to result in 10 new businesses and 300 new jobs by 2020. The plan states the EDA will explore other ways to encourage commercial and industrial development in targeted areas of the City, with specific mention to the County Highway 42 corridor. This may include feasibility reports for utilities or building partnerships with land owners. The EDA also wishes to analyze existing city codes and fees to make Prior Lake more "business friendly". 5 -Year Time Periods Base Jobs Created (Historical) Plus New lobs Created Base Plus New Businesses Businesses Added Added Base Value Increase (Historical) Plus New Value Increase 2000-10 5 -Yea r Avg. 235 xxx 10 xxx $17 M xxx 2011-2015 250 125 10 5 $20 M $10 M 2016-2020 350 175 15 S $25 M $12 M 2021-2025 300 150 12 6 $22 M $11 M 2026-2030 300 150 13 6 $23 M $12 M Total 2011+ 1,200 600 50 25 $40 M $45 M Figure 15. Expected Employment Growth -EDA Business Plan Figure Assumptions: 1. 2000-10 'Base information is based on city building permit activity reports or new commercial and industrial construction, not including public facilities and mutli-family rental housing 2. Annual increase in base jobs, business and value continue trends from 2000-2010 3. Estimated increase due to Economic Development ('New') uses the Base times 1.5. 4. Total city/county/school taxes below are estimated using $2.75 per square foot of building space. Plans For The Future/ 20 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Industry Construction Employees 352 Percent 4.5% SMSC Est. 25 Wholesale Trade 112 1.41 101 Retail Trade 353 4.5% 12.9% Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 223 2.91 Education and Health Services Professional and Technical Services 162 2.11 25 Management, Admin. and Other Services 659 8.41 25 Accommodation and Food Service 3,533 45.2% 3,250 Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 149 1.91 75 Public Administration 919 11.7% Other TOTAL EMPLOYEES 1,361 7,823 17.4% 100°1 400 3,800 Figure 16. Employment within sub -industries- Prior Lake 2010 Industry Establishments Percent Construction 93 16.6% Trade, Transportation and Utilities 101 18.0% Financial Activities 72 12.9% Professional and Business Services 120 21.4% Education and Health Services 59 10.5% Leisure and Hospitality 29 5.2% Other Services 52 9.3% Public Administration 4 0.7% Other 30 5.4% TOTAL BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENTS 560 100% Figure 17. Number of Establishments within sub industries- Prior Lake 2010 WSB & Asaao,l-, Inc. City of Prior Lake Plans For The Future/ 21 County Road 42 Study - Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Property Owner Feedback Individual Property Owners/Ownership Groups Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community (SMSC) SMSC Property- The Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community (SMSC) owns 256 acres of land in the study area in fee or in trust. Based on discussions with representatives from the SMSC, it is anticipated thatthe land currently held in fee will ultimately become trust land, removing it from the land use jurisdiction of the City of Prior Lake. However, it is beneficial to discuss what the SMSC's vision for the property is in order to plan for needed infrastructure improvements. The SMSC is currently undertaking an in-depth land use analysis and plan for their trust property. In general, the plan is to develop property in Prior Lake as mostly low-density residential, with the exception of land immediately adjacentto key intersections, where there is an opportunity for commercial development. More specific information will be available when the SMSC completes their land use planning process; however, for the purposes of this study, we included both low-density residential land uses and commercial land uses in planning for the future of the SMSC-controlled property. A WSB Vierling Property — The Vierling family owns 381 acres within the study area, which includes of the 109 acres of property on the southeast corner of CSAH 21 and County Highway 42 and 272 acres o located on the east side of Pike Lake. Repre- sentatives for this land have been involved in the discussions regarding changes in land use and have not raised dispute with the proposed designations. Shepherd Property — The Shepherd Property is currently exempt from the moratorium in place, however it is subjectto analysis under this study. The representatives from K. Hovnanian have been part of the planning process, and wish to see the property remain guided for a single-family residential land use. Bolger Property — The Bolger property owners have been involved in this study, and have primarily commented on the importance of the alignment and design of the roadway connection between Carriage Hills Drive and County Highway 42. Given the need to locate the intersection as far west as possible for access spacing and safety reasons, a future connection to Carriage Hills Drive will be located partially on the Bolger property. The exact alignment and configuration will come at the time when a development application is. However, it is important to visualize this connection as part of the K. Hovnanian plat, since the development of one piece affects the other. The owners anticipate developing i low-density residential housing. Plans For The Future/ 22 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Summit Preserve Community Feedback Several comments regarding proposed land uses were received from the public atthe draft plan meeting held on July 9, 2013. Regarding land use, a comment was received that it makes sense for the commercial lot on the south side of Fountain Hills Drive NE to be rezoned to high density residential. In addition, there was concern expressed over the entire northeast corner of County Highway 42 and County Highway 21 being guided for mixed use. Access to this corner is a concern. Commercial will be most important if County Highway 42 and County Highway 21 is to become a gateway to Prior Lake. Access and size of parcels should not be limited. There was also a concern over the parcel atthe northwest corner of Pike Lake Trail and County Highway 42 being entirely guided for commercial when wetlands are an issue on the site. A WSB City of Prior Lake Property on Eastern Portion of CSAH 18 — Feedback from two property owners located on the east of CSAH 18 in the study area, their plans were to construct and stay in their single-family homes for the foreseeable future. Previous Summit Preserve Property — City staff engaged with representatives of Cardinal Development, the company that currently controls the former Summit Preserve parcel. They envision a mixed use concept on their property. There was interest expressed in seeing more community gardens with new development as a way to promote local sustainability and community involvement. Interest in multi -modal transportation options, specifically infrastruc- ture for pedestrians and cyclists on new or improved roads was also inquired about as a way to allow residents opportunities to exercise and save money. Comments were received regarding the potential for public transpor- tation within the City of Prior Lake, such as a circulator bus that connects neighborhoods to desirable locations like downtown Prior Lake, Village Market and the Savage commercial district, or the potential for a street car along county highways 21, 42, and trunk highway 18. Plans For The Future/ 23 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Summary of Land -use Findings Below is a summary of this study's findings, based on an analysis of the existing conditions: • 80 to 90 acres of additional commercial prop- Some property in the study area has immedi- erty is needed city-wide to meet the demand ate availability. The eastern most properties by 2030; therefore, the amount of land guided in the study area (Summit Preserve) do not as commercial, business office, and retail in have ready access to sewer and water the study area should be reduced. However, facilities, and have significant environmental given the EDXs goals for job growth, having resources; therefore development should be extra land available for commercial develop- staged accordingly. ment is also desirable. • 20 to 30 acres of industrial land is need- Property owners and the City of Prior Lake ed city-wide to meet the demand by 2030; have a desire to develop their property in a therefore, there may be an opportunity for market-driven way; therefore, their individual some additional industrially guided land in thoughts and desires should influence the the study area. outcome of this study • Current housing starts suggest an average of 150 to 180 new starts annually, resulting in an additional 2,400 to 2,800 households in Prior Lake (which is significantly lower than the 2005 Comp Plan anticipates); therefore, a discussion about the location of new resi- dential housing in Prior Lake is necessary. A WSB &�s,a�Eares,zn�. Findings/ 24 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Land Use Recommendations Given the uncertainty of the future, a fbxible approach was of paramount value when proposing an alternative land use scenario for the study area. However, equally important are the property owner's visions and the stated vision of the community found in the Prior Lake 2030 Vision and Strategic Plan. Given the findings of this study, Figure 18 outlines changes to the land use map and associated comprehensive plan amendment are recommended. A WSB City of Prior Lake 1) Reduce the amount of land guided for solely residential. Currently, 600 acres of the study area are guided for low density residential, 18 acres guided for medium density, and 136 acres guided for high density housing. This study recommends a flexible approach through establishment of a mixed-use district rather than limiting land to primary low density, single-family uses. The following 430 residential acres remain outside the new mixed use areas: • Proposed R -Low Density (R -LD) 362 acres gross total Average density of 2 dwelling units per net acre • Proposed R -Medium Density (R -MD) 15 acres gross total Average density of 4.1 dwelling units per net acre • Proposed R -High Density (R -HD) 53 acres gross total Average density of 7.1 dwelling units per net acre Recommendations/ 25 yy, t KW� 0 �.� rpt- � � t _ • I a) CP CP CP a' 0 N a) o0 c O a) cn a) a) cn cn cn s ao ++ vi O o — c� cn a) cn a) cn a) o +, — — E N N u _ u as 7 0 a) m c _ ca a) co' az cn U a e E 0) U a) � o a) c._ u u c.) U N-0 a) o ap O a) N o U Cc N o _ — O +J o y a) u a3 cc ca CM O c +� a) .5 H d 'O -E C.) Lo IL M Q cn IL O a as R '` N c CO m }' o+ cn cn O O }' O C i cfl Cl) cv N a` cn 0 o 2 0 o._ m aj }, 4) CB N ,K v v E O LE CM CO a) a ao N a) +�+ �' 00 fn a) O a) U U) • • V d d ca �j O O U vi a) a) a U O i p Q • • • • N +�-+ N O U O O � a) i 0 u cn cn 00 ?j Q L Iti U L C O cB O a) E U N--0-0 O_ M C. +s+ m O m O O co O U E i O_ . yy, t KW� 0 �.� rpt- � � t _ • I County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan the proposed development and roadway network, therefore it makes sense to leave flexibility in the location of commercial development to the proposer. Given the site's proximity to future parkland and high value natural resources, it seems likely that any residential development would be low-density residential. It makes sense to guide this area for some high density housing to serve as a buffer between commercial and lower density residential uses. This site, however, is challenged by the necessity of a developer to have to assemble several properties owned by multiple property individuals. Proposed Mixed Use 2 0 (50 percent commercial; 25 percent R- Medium Density, 25 percent R -High Density) • 66 acres gross total • 33 acres gross commercial • 17 acres gross residential at4.1 units per net acre • 17 acres gross residential at 7.1 units per net acre This proposed mixed use district is likely to be the most compatible with immediate development. The entire property is owned by one individual, it is well served by sewer and water, and its location on the southeast corner of County Highway 21 and County Highway 42 position it well for the development market. The city desires to see half of the mixed use piece be developed with commercial uses catering to traffic along the corridor, but recognizes that development may be somewhat constrained bythe existence of a large wetland complex. The adjacent property guided for low density and high density residential will probably ultimately become part of an overall development plan, butthe city felt it important to retain those designations, given existing adjacent land uses. The study anticipates some medium density residential also planned for the mixed use district to serve as a transition between the low density land uses and commercial along the corridor. Proposed Mixed Use 3 ME (25 percent commercial, 50 percent R -Medium Density; 25 percent R -Low Density) - • 207 acres gross total WSB • 52 acres gross commercial City of Prior Lake • 51 acres gross residential at 2 dwelling units per net acre • 104 acres gross residential at 4.1 dwelling units per net acre The Mixed Use 3 District is also well suited for immediate development. It too is owned by one individual and is located in an area that is well served by the transportation system, but also has high natural resource value. While the city anticipates most of the land near Pike Lane being developed as lowdensity residential, the remaining 207 acres of the Vierling property is anticipated to be developed with as a Planned Unit Development with a variety of uses proposed. Key to developing this parcel will be obtaining adequate backage roads to serve local traffic, as outlined in the transportation reccomendations. This study envisions the development of medium density housing to serve as a transition between lowdensity housing and commercial uses. While 52 acres of commercial use for this property is probably more than adequate to accommodate the market, it is important to understand the city's 2030 Strategic Plan and Vision guidance for this area as a premiere office/technology campus in the future. Proposed Mixed Use 4 M (25 percent commercial, 75 percent R -Medium Density) • 49 acres gross total • 12 acres gross commercial • 37 acres gross residential at 4.1 dwellings units per net acre The area on the northeast corner of County Highway 18 and County Highway 42 has previously had a development proposal, Summit Preserve. While that approval has expired, the landowner still intends to develop it as a mixed use site. Therefore, this piece is also guided for medium density residential, with a small amount of commercial likely near an access onto County Highway 42. However, this property is challenged by the immediate lack of full sanitary sewer service, and may be a number of years before service is readily available. This study does not foresee immediate development Recommendations/ 27 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake at this site. When development does occur, it should be noted that a new access point at Aspen Avenue should be anticipated, at which time access from County Highway 42 to Kensington and Meadow should be eliminated, and alternative access from the new Aspen Avenue would be made to accommodate existing development. 4) It is anticipated that the land currently owned in fee by SMSC will be entered into trust prior to its development. However, given the impacts this area has on transportation and land use planning, assumptions were made about land use in the area, in consultation with SMSC. Therefore, portions of this land have been designated for low-density housing and for mixed use, as depicted below. This allows for proper planning of the area, but acknowledges that final layout and plans fall within the control of the SMSC, especially if the land is put under trust. A WSB Proposed Mixed -Use 5 (SMSC) (75 percent low-density residential, 25 percent commercial) • 182 acres gross total • 46 acres gross commercial • 136 acres gross residential at 2 dwelling units per net acre 5) Add a land use designation for public) semi-public. This study recommends the addition of a public/semi-public land use district to the land use plan. The purpose of this district is to accommodate future or existing land uses dedicated to park, permanent open space, large stormwater management ponds, or other uses that are not classified in other districts and are used to benefit the public. Other uses include land owned by Scott County for right of way purposes and utility substations. This district allows the city to identify lands intended for use to benefit the public and not guided for development. The total acreage proposed for Public/Semi-Public in the study area is 87 acres. Recommendations/ 28 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Future Transportation Plans Draft Concept Plan — June 2013 In addition to collecting information about previous studies and plans for County Highway 42, meetings with city and county staff were held to better understand any existing transportation concerns as well as to identify any new information that should be included as part of the study. As part of the discussions, previous plats and concepts that had been submitted to the city (but were ultimately not approved or built— due to changes in the economy) were also reviewed. Additionally, the county and city were asked to provide input on the recommendations of the previous plans and studies — were there things that in hindsight did not look like it could work? The meetings with city and county staff confirmed that County Highway 42 needed to be treated as a principal arterial throughoutthe entire city. This means that the access originally identified in the 1999 study of County Highway 42 is no longer applicable. In the 1999 study, the area west of County Highway 21 (Eagle Creek Avenue) was identified as a minor arterial. Additionally, the county indicated that it would prefer to have access along County Highway 42 reflect opportunities that are actually feasible — taking into consideration the types of development, resources that have to be avoided, etc. A WSB & Asacol-, In,. The city confirmed that local roadways were needed both north and south of County Highway 42 to support development that is planned along the corridor. The city acknowledged that the supporting roadways should function as collector roadways —that they should link the development to County Highway 42 and not necessarily provide direct driveway access. The City of Prior Lake directed the consultant team to use the information obtained from the environmental scan performed as part of this study to help identify where it would generally be feasible to construct continuous supporting roadways. Locations where there were significant slopes, wetlands, and sensitive species/resources were to be avoided if practical. Finally, information from past plans was used to understand generally what traffic volumes were expected in the future based on land use in the city's 2030 Comprehensive Plan. While the study partners understood that land use will be changing — it was a base to understand general demand in the area and to understand the demand for through traffic on County Highway 42. The information above was used to develop a preliminary supporting roadway and access concept plan that was presented to property owners along the corridor on June 4, 2013. This same information, with comments received from the property owners noted, was presented at a joint planning commission and city council meeting on June 17, 2014. Figure 19 shows the original preliminary concept. Recommendations/ 29 ? / $ �_ ƒ a \ f / § ƒ ( � / / a E a # � k CD § » 2 2 w -0 tm§ * _ u = _ S = a t § y 2 _ ƒ S $ \ _ � »' _ ¥ c / T, = _ m 4 = � [ m m 0 m _ _ _ = m * # o * _ * 3 Q o = _ _ _ = E o = 2 2 _ m = _ > _ ^ c � o _ _ « �'� 2 * _ _ _ _ ° _ = 7 2 / .e E = 2 ± { _ 2 0 0 0 ¥ o 2 a m 2\ ¥ FL cn� ¥* � a a� ¥ 0 @ E k o S cUd C-)U' 5`cn° ca4r *' Ncz a)0 � aJ(_(Vp ``�° ca -0 O+' lY OO o .� C-) = N d C ,O~ CO CD a d CO zaPO O O cc d a�iEN Cn OCa a) Cs -0 m -0te O cc cn N dO' � OC/)U d O CO O O Cn ON i d O U O Cn d +- 5d= OC 70C p � Ou O -M a) d �L Cc CmiCO O N Cll CO C CO O Q i +- d O OUO CO O O Cn C CM C LZ C E C.3 d d OO d ". - 3N d, O O dO_d i O_ . U Cn +- CO d O dd E OUE +-C U O L O Cn d d LCP O Cn OC Ocn C O O_ i CnO O O +_+ O +, CO CO +, ._ -a -a C U C%) CO O U U CJS O m N LAW f tl1VlVkd i w County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan Steps in the Forecasting Process The Scott County Travel Demand Model follows a standard four -step process, in which the major model components are: • trip generation • trip distribution • mode choice • traffic assignment Trip Generation The first step in forecasting travel is trip generation. Information from land use, population and economic forecasts is used to estimate how many person -trips will be made to and from each zone. Trip generation is estimated by applying trip generation equations to socioeconomic information. Trip production zones are based on household characteristics such as the number of people in the household and the number of vehicles available. Trip attractions are based primarily on the number and type of jobs (retail or non -retail) in a zone. Trip Distribution In the trip distribution stage, trip ends are linked together to form an origin -destination pattern of trips. The number of trips between two points is dependent upon their attractiveness for a given trip purpose and the separation (distance or travel time) between the points. A zone with a large number of trip attractions will receive a greater number of trips than one with a small number of trip attractions. The other primary factor in trip distribution is distance. The number of trips from an origin zone to a given destination zone decreases with increasing travel time between the origin zone and the destination zone. A WSB City of Prior Lake Mode Choice Here, trips between a given origin and destination are split into trips using different modes of travel including public transit and personal vehicles. Calculations are conducted that compare the attrac- tiveness of travel by different modes to determine their relative usage. The Metropolitan Council's Regional Travel Demand Model includes a sophis- ticated mode choice model. This project maintains consistency with all of the coefficients, networks and processes. Traffic Assignment The fourth step in the modeling process assigns trips to specific routes. These routes are first determined based on the shortest travel times between origins and destinations. The assigned trip volumes are then compared to the capacity of each link to determine which links, if any, are congested. If a link is congested, the speed on the link slows, resulting in longer travel time assigned to that link. Trips on congested links will be shifted to less congested links until there is a system -wide balance between travel demand and travel supply. Recommendations/ 33 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan WSB Travel Forecasting Process City of Prior Lake Travel forecasting involves a series of mathematical equations that attempt to simulate human travel behavior. The models follow a sequence of steps that answer a series of questions about traveler decisions. The goal is to simulate choices that travelers make in response to a given system of highways. Many assumptions need to be made about how people make decisions, the factors they consider, and how they may react to a particular alternative. The travel simulation process follows trips as they begin at a trip -production zone (e.g., Home), move through a network of links and nodes (roads and intersections), and end at a trip -attracting zone (e.g., Workplace). TAZ Comp Plan Data Proposed Development Change 2030 Pop 2030 Emp 2030 Pap 2030 Emp 2030 Pop 2030 Emp 1784 2252 389 3231 1062 979 673 1852 402 545 470 22 68 -523 1854 107 35 119 14 12 -21 1855 493 341 1162 387 669 46 1856 520 0 1300 557 780 557 1857 1013 576 1105 886 92 310 1943 349 0 1341 304 992 304 1973 1434 186 2377 1314 943 1128 1976 1207 38 1636 0 429 -38 1978 1582 139 699 734 -883 595 Total 9359 2249 13440 5280 4081 3031 Recommendations/ 34 i +-+ c J O a) a--+ U =� a Q 4) — m J o d a) o> O o o m o E o— N E m m c o to m c> U N = c C° a U o Y m cn �_ m f w oo m E cn N m 0 Q a� m ) O U O M o cn m in 00 vi aUi o O N � m � d > o N U} C o m a) U m o o a) o Q H M N cn m m a� U U m cn '+� U>}_ •a o m CP U o Ca W U a� m cc >o o m 'O m (D c a C W o U > +� W Q m 'i m o a� a cc a) U> a) o m o O i O i ate--+ L O O L U }, L a) C m" O }' O 0 4) O a) L++ L U o O _� H H CU a H 2 H m cn H E cn m a a cc -E } i cn � cn U cn � �L County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan As shown in Figure 23, TAZ zones 1784,1852-1859, 1943, 1973, 1976, and 1978 directly feed traffic into the project area. The Scott County and City of Prior Lake planning organizations agree thatthe population and employment in these zones is different than was originally planned. These local changes in population and employment estimates affect year 2030 forecast traffic volumes in the study area and have been applied to the Scott County Travel Demand Model. The travel simulations used in the Scott County model represent the highway system as a network. The networks consist of links to represent highway segments and nodes to represent intersections. Data for links include travel times on the link, average speeds, capacity, and direction of travel. Node data include information about intersections and the locations of the nodes (coordinates). A WSB & Asacol-, In,. City of Prior Lake 2030 Traffic Volumes The traffic projections for County Highway 42 are shown in Figure 24. It should be noted that the model takes into account transportation improvement projects that have been funded at the regional and local level. Recommendations/ 36 i) O a C -) cB O U0a) N OO_ QU CO O OO O � CU) 4-1 O O CC13 ) ) c13 C13 - +- � O ca +- a) o0p 4- C13 ON 2O> a) 2O> EN0 C13a) a ca C2- C13 t -0}a E = a) } _ c 0 —L . NLNL M a >a cc yL cn a)OO Np cjBcaa) OO C U C D C -f-- ~OO " ) . a) p Y O C.O a-' O C-3 • 0 - Y OOm cc piOC O > +, +, O § _ Op C13 C/) CPfn O CO C13 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan City of Prior Lake Summary of Transportation Findings Below is a summary of the findings related to the transportation network and access along County Highway 42. County Highway 42 is an important roadway in the regional transportation network. It needs to be able to provide safe and efficient travel within the county. Because of its importance, Scott County has identified it as a Principal Arterial Roadway throughout the county— including all of Prior Lake. Previously, it was identified as a Principal Arterial from the east- ern city limits to County Highway 21. • County Highway 42 needs to function at a high-level in order to accommodate future traffic demand. Access on County Highway 42 will be limited to preserve mobility and maintain safety. Road- way connections to County Highway 42 should generally be collector roadways and above, with a majority of the connections being other principal or minor arterials. A WSB It is the county's intention to preserve 200 feet of right of way along County Highway 42 in order to ensure that adequate capacity can be provided for along the corridor. As plats and development along the highway are submit -ted for review and comment, this area must be shown for roadway and trail hudreSedemand (trips) on County Highway 42 will increase as land uses intensify and more development occurs. • County highway connections to County High- way 42 (such as County Highways 83, 21 and 18 also play an important role in the transpor-tation network. Access to these roadways is also managed by the county to ensure reliable traffi c fl ow and safety. Because access is limited to the county highway network, a majority of the access to future development will need to come from the city street network and the street network operated by the SMSC. Therefore, these street networks need to provide continuous travel where feasible. Recommendations/ 38 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan • Portions of the existing roadway network will be above capacity (roadway will become congested) without improvements. Segments of roadways expected to experience congestion include: County Highway 42 west of County Highway 83 (Canterbury Road S) County Highway 42 between County Highway 83 and County Highway 18 • Based on the network identified in the revised concept plan, adequate connections should be provided for local trips. The proposed roadway network and access plan has some flexibility as implementation occurs. Alignments and exact access loca- tions may be tweaked as plats are submitted and reviewed by the county and city. Howev- er, roadway connections that are shown as continuous need to be so. The type of access shown in the plan is the expected access along the corridor. City of Prior Lake A WSB Recommendations/ 39 County Road 42 Study • Land Use and Transportation Plan FA PRI J m M, - Transportation Recommendations Below is a series of recommendations for the City of Prior Lake transportation network. Most of the improvements 1) The proposed transportation network identified on the map should be implemented and access map (Figure 25) should guide the as development occurs. However, timing for development of local street connections that improvements such as traffic signals will be support intensification of land use along County dependent upon meeting certain requirements called Highway 42. traffic signal warrants. Until an intersection meets those warrants, it is not good nor safe practice to install a traffic signal. The county and city will coordinate with one another on the installation of proposed traffic signals, just as they will for proposed roadways and access as plats come in for review and approval. Recommendations for the future roadway network and access locations included feedback from stakeholders atthe July 9th meeting, results of the travel forecasting and input from city and county staff A WSB & Asacol-, In,. 2) The proposed transportation network and access map show the ultimate connections and access types that are proposed along/near the corridor. Because development is incremental, not all of the changes will be made at once, nor are they likely all needed at once. This means that some connections may not be completed until additional development occurs and some access locations may not get their traffic signals right away. Trafft signals should only be installed once the intersection meets the required signal warrants. 3) The supporting roadway network should be sensitive to environmental resources within the community. Impacts to wetlands, slopes, etc. should be avoided if possible and minimized if they cannot be avoided. Transportation / 40 4 I i i PL.! a ! i ! t i ! i ! M ! ! ! i i irwmmi=r•-- � � ++ • ]Nw.1r.,cuR J 4 � f�pprr I �1Ci Rt/1,' 4]•Y Y - ■� . - -S PIFAPaInI{W1 —' '- __ L - �T Tom._ � I R +# tftl� r.lwrwp�e5: ly�� ^ 7_ Lfi 9fsR � x IL 1~� r ■ _ •y ; 1 a f S „ a r ;"`owl - r i± t'� 1 CHAPTER 3, LAND USE ELEMENT 3.1 INTRODUCTION The purpose of the Land Use element is to define future development and development opportunities in the City. The section begins with a discussion of existing land use and vacant land with the City, followed by a discussion of the growth projections. It concludes with a discussion of the 3,000 acre orderly annexation. 3.2 LAND USE INVENTORY Figure 3.1 identifies the existing land uses within the City of Prior Lake, while Table 3.1 identifies the acreage of each of the land use categories. The City of Prior Lake currently encompasses approximately 11,210 acres of land. More than 29% of this land area is undevelopable because it is a lake, wetland, regional pond, right-of-way or SMSC Trust Land. Another 4.75% of the land is owned by the SMSC in fee. Residential uses comprise about 27% of the existing land area. Although the number of permits for new townhomes have equaled or exceeded the number of permits for detached single family dwellings in the last few years, the largest land use category in the City is still single family uses, with nearly 24% of the land area. Multi -family uses include just under 4% of the land area, and commercial and industrial uses comprise less than 2% of the land uses. Parks and recreation land uses encompass a significant amount of the land area is Prior Lake (10.50%). Table 3.1 Citv of Prior Lake Existina Land Use. Mav 20051 LANDUSE ACRES PERCENT OF TOTAL Agriculture 1,826.33 16.29% Commercial 126.69 1.13% Industrial 80.62 0.72% Lakes 1,623.14 14.48% Multi -Family Residential 429.08 3.83% Parks and Recreation 1,177.34 10.50% Public/Semi-Public 338.73 3.02% Regional Ponds 10.77 0.10% R -O -W 995.56 8.88% Single Family Residential 2,652.63 23.66% SMSC Trust 593.93 5.30% SMSC Fee 533.02 4.75% Vacant 719.74 6.42% Wetlands 103.02 0.92% TOTAL 11,210.58 100.00% The City of Prior Lake has also entered into an orderly annexation agreement with Spring Lake Township encompassing approximately 3,000 acres. Most of this land area is vacant or agricultural land; however, there are some existing large lot single family residential sites. Other constraints within this area include wetlands and lakes.2 In any event, the addition of the area will increase the supply of developable land within Prior Lake. ' City of Prior Lake 2 Scott County GIS The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 27 33 UTURE LAND USE To guide land use development, the City has prepared a Comprehensive Plan Land Use Plan. The City uses this plan to develop policies, strategies and recommendations for land uses, infrastructure and development review. The Comprehensive Plan includes both text and a Land Use Map; it is specific enough to guide day-to-day development decisions, and provides the policies, standards and principals for a updating the Zoning Ordinance and other official development controls. LAND USE CATEGORIES The Land Use Classification categories are a general guide for the densities and use types. The Zoning Ordinance includes the specific development criteria. Figure 3.2 is the 2030 Comprehensive Plan Land Use Map. This map shows the future land use for the parcels within the City. The definitions and an explanation of how they correspond to Zoning Districts are described in the following paragraphs. N*411]:4kikIFil0CNV/4X91:J61:4kik&@IW_F'R19■[91_l1[07L11.1 The residential classifications provide for a range of housing opportunities, residential densities, and related compatible uses contemplated by the Goals and Objectives. Each description includes the purpose; development location criteria; density; minimum requirements for development; utility availability; typical uses; and the corresponding zoning district. R D R R -RD This is a special classification for all land where urban services are unavailable. Land is often designated R -RD in order to preserve large tracts of land which can eventually accommodate orderly planned urban development. Over time, agriculture and related uses may not be the highest and best for all land in this classification. Thus, the official Comprehensive Land Use Plan may parenthetically indicate other classifications for certain R -RD land. The alternate categories reflect the city's determination that the property would be eventually conducive to some urban, rather than rural use. This is a means of guiding the ultimate urban development of the community whereby the R -RD classification may reserve land for another classification, when urban services are physically available. Location Criteria: All land where public sanitary sewer is currently unavailable, and is not expected to be available within the 25 -year time frame of the Comprehensive Plan, is classified R -RD. In some cases, land areas without current services are shown in other land use categories, these are intended to reflect a build -out condition and the R -RD Designation will be changed to reflect these ultimate uses when utilities become available. Density: Maximum rural density is one dwelling unit per 40 acres. Minimum Requirements for Development: Forty acres and frontage on a public street. Utilities: No public utilities available. Location and design of private waste facilities will be evaluated by the City on a case-by-case basis. Applicable regulations such as Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Rule 7080 will be administered and enforced for all on-site treatment systems. Any structure built on an island must contain an enclosed septic system or incinerator toilet facilities approved by the City. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 28 Typical Uses: Agriculture; single family detached dwellings; and limited recreational open space uses (golf courses, public parks, conservation areas, natural preserves, stables and riding academies, and the like). Allowable uses for islands include seasonal cabins, public parks and open space. Private recreational facilities such as a pavilion or picnic facilities for a homeowners association may also be allowed. Corresponding Zoning: A (Agriculture) and R -S (Rural Residential Subdivision). The R -S zoning is only used for preexisting subdivisions currently served by private individual septic systems. Low Density Residential (R -LD) This classification provides for a range of lower density housing opportunities. Single family detached homes at the lowest of the urban densities are typical uses. Lower densities are often required to preserve and protect environmentally sensitive areas. Single family attached dwellings in cluster developments may be allowed as conditional uses or as planned unit developments, subject to the same densities as single family detached dwellings. Location Criteria: Low density residential areas will generally have the following characteristics: • Areas with variable terrain • Environmentally sensitive areas, such as the Shoreland District • Bounded but not penetrated by major streets • Buffered from commercial, industrial and high activity areas • Served by neighborhood parks and schools Density: Net densities between 2 and 4.0 units per acre may be allowed. Mixed use developments with higher density and a mix of housing styles may be realized in Planned Unit Developments. Minimum Requirements for Development: Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. The minimum area for Planned Unit Developments should be 10 acres in order to provide for the open space and mix of housing styles at higher densities. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified R -LD. Typical Uses: Single family detached dwellings; other dwelling designs by conditional permit and Planned Unit Developments; schools; churches; recreational open space, parks, and play grounds with public utilities; and public buildings. Corresponding Zoning: R-1 (Low Density Residential) and provisions for Planned Unit Developments needed to implement the range of allowable densities and to express the intent of the Comprehensive Plan for this classification. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 29 M D R R -MD This classification provides for a broader range of medium density housing opportunities. Single family detached homes on smaller lots, cluster developments and planned unit developments, are typical of this category. Location Criteria: Medium density residential areas will generally have the following characteristics: • Areas having level to fairly rolling terrain • Outside of environmentally sensitive areas, such as the Shoreland District • Having good access to collector or higher order streets • In close proximity to commercial and employment centers • Access to transit centers • In close proximity to regional and community parks • Provides a transitional area between low density and commercial, industrial and high activity areas Density: Net densities between 4.1 and 7.0 units per acre may be allowed. Mixed use developments with higher density and a mix of housing styles may be realized in Planned Unit Developments. Minimum Requirements for Development: Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. The minimum area for Planned Unit Developments should be 10 acres in order to provide for the open space and mix of housing styles at higher densities. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified R -MD. Typical Uses: Single family detached dwellings on smaller lots; other dwelling designs by conditional permit and Planned Unit Developments; schools; churches; recreational open space, parks, and play grounds with public utilities; and public buildings. Corresponding Zoning: R-2 (Low to Medium Density Residential), R-3 (Medium Density Residential) and provisions for Planned Unit Developments needed to implement the range of allowable densities and to express the intent of the Comprehensive Plan for this classification. H D R R -HD This classification is characterized by dwellings other than single family detached houses at the higher residential densities. The dominant construction form is attached homes and apartments; single family detached houses may be allowed in a Planned Unit Development. This classification is intended to provide an opportunity to create population centers and to accommodate the demand for affordable housing located near community activity areas. The McComb study, completed in 2004, identified the demand for 1,200 additional multi- family units. 3 This translates to an additional 50 acres of land designated R -HO. The 2020 3 Prior Lake Development Potential, McComb Group. Ltd., December 2003 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 30 Comprehensive Plan designated more than 600 acres of land for R -HO uses, far more than necessary to meet the demand. This plan significantly reduces the amount of land designated R -HO. Location Criteria: High density residential areas will generally have the following characteristics: • Having level to fairly rolling terrain • Outside of environmentally sensitive areas, such as the Shoreland District • Having immediate access to collector or higher order streets • In close proximity to commercial and employment centers • Access to transit centers • In close proximity to regional and community parks • Buffered from commercial, and industrial areas • Not adversely affecting adjoining low density residential areas Density: Net densities between 7.1 and 20 units per acre may be allowed, where developments with higher density and those with a mix of housing styles will primarily be realized in Planned Unit Developments. Minimum Requirements for Development: Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. The minimum area for Planned Unit Developments should be 10 acres in order to provide for the open space and mix of housing styles at higher densities. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified R -HO. Typical Uses: Two-family dwellings, townhouses, apartments, and other designs, by conditional use permit and/or Planned Unit Development; boarding houses; schools; churches; recreational open space, parks, and play grounds with public utilities; and public buildings. Corresponding Zoning: R-4 (High Density Residential), including provision for Planned Unit Developments needed to implement the range of allowable densities and to express the intent of the Comprehensive Plan for this classification. COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT CLASSI ICATION Several Commercial Development classifications provide for a variety of business uses to meet shopping, professional and personal service, and entertainment needs; the commercial enterprises also provide employment opportunities. These categories are designated "C", with a suffix indicating the character and limitation; the designations correspond to those on the official Comprehensive Land Use Plan Map. Commercial uses are anticipated to triple between 2005 and 2025, from 300,000 square feet to 900,000 square feet.4 This plan increases the amount of commercially designated land by more than 150 acres. The proposed plan has also rearranged the commercially designated areas to create more commercial nodes, as recommended by the McComb 4 Prior Lake Development Potential, McComb Group. Ltd., December 2003 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 31 study. Rather than a linear commercial development pattern, the Plan attempts to concentrate commercial areas at major intersections, and around the existing commercial development. Each Commercial Development description includes the purpose; development location criteria; maximum building coverage; minimum requirements for development; utility availability; typical uses; and the corresponding zoning district. Neighborhood Retail Shopping (C -NR) This classification is characterized by low -intensity, service-oriented retail, shopping and convenience facilities which are specifically designed to serve the residents of the immediate neighborhood. Limits are placed on the type, size and intensity of commercial development to ensure compatibility with the adjacent residential areas. The maximum building size is limited to 10,000 square feet of floor area. Development Location Criteria: These areas have the following characteristics: • May be adjacent to low density residential areas; • Buffering and screening of activity areas from residences required; • Should be at the intersection of streets classified as at least collectors. • Within easy walking distance or within five minute driving time of residents within the primary neighborhood. Minimum Requirements for Development: Minimum lot area within this classification is 20,000 square feet. The classification also calls for maximum a maximum lot area of 5 acres. This maximum is intended to limit the intensity of the development. Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified C -NR. Typical Uses: Retail shopping centers and accessory and related uses that are clearly incidental to the primary use. Corresponding Zoning: C-1 (Neighborhood Commercial) Community Retail Shopping (C -CC) The C -CC category envisions centers of a larger scale, serving a broader area which may be proximate to residential development, but which, by design and appropriate limitations on the type and intensity of uses, feature effective transition to residential areas, vehicular access, and aesthetic harmony. Regional centers and facilities are specifically not contemplated by this classification. Development Location Criteria: These areas are characterized by the following: • Not directly adjacent to low density residential land and development; • A high level of transition to all proximate residential land and development; • Located along arterial and major collector streets. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 32 Minimum Requirements for Development: C -CC developments are intended to provide a concentration of commercial uses. Although the minimum lot size is 5,000 square feet, the total area designated for C -CC uses should be at least 10 acres. Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified C -NR. Typical Uses: Retail shopping centers and accessory and related uses clearly incidental to the primary use. Corresponding Zoning: C-2 (Community Business) or C-4 (General Business) C — H G B C -HG This classification is characterized by a wide range of commerce, recreation, and entertainment uses whose trade area is the community and, under certain conditions, the region. Highway -oriented uses and single -stop or destination stores are included. An important role of this classification is to provide services, goods, and employment opportunities related to the continued dependence upon the automobile for high mobility; to the growth of the leisure and recreational activities in the area; and to resultant need for hospitality and lodging facilities. Development Location Criteria: The wide variety of commercial uses allowed often produces undesirable effect on abutting and nearby uses. Extra care must be exercised in the evaluation of locational criteria, transition design, and the effectiveness of buffering. This designation will generally be made in locations meeting the following criteria: • Not adjacent to low density residential land and development; • High level of transition to all proximate residential land and development; • Near arterial access points, especially intersections of arterial and/or major collector streets; • Adjoining or very near existing or planned commercial or industrial areas; • Regional center access limited to frontage roads or to internal common parking and driving areas. Minimum Requirements for Development: 2.5 acres for up to 40,000 square feet; 10 acres for up to 275,000 square feet; 15 acres for over 275,000 square feet. Public street frontage is required for all development, unless alternate access is expressly approved by the City for a Planned Unit Development or similar arrangement. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified C -HG. Typical Uses: Community and regional retail and service centers; sales of motor vehicles, marine craft, building supplies, lawn and garden materials; theaters, clubs, and private recreation centers; hotels and motels; restaurants, including those with drive-through facilities; fuel dispensing and the sale of petroleum products; and, accessory and related uses that are clearly incidental to the primary use. Corresponding Zoning: C-4 (General Business) The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 33 C -T C C -TC This classification is a special designation for the historical and recognized Town Center which has retained attributes of a "downtown," despite relocation by some original commercial uses. The classification strives to balance the civic center and contemporary commercial features with new cultural -focused institutions and enterprises, and redevelopment potential of retail and service uses. The Town Center may be characterized as a service hub with limited retail shopping convenience; pedestrian circulation within as well as to the area will be a distinguishing feature. Suburban vehicular access can be supported by effectively integrating peripheral and on -street parking. Limited residential uses can be integrated with the commercial and service environment. Development Location Criteria: The C -TC designation has very distinct boundaries based on current road alignments, geographical features and existing development. Generally, the C -TC designation is bounded by TH 13 on the east, Lakefront Park on the north, Pleasant Street on the south and West Avenue and Duluth Avenue on the west. The specific boundaries are identified on the Comprehensive Plan Land Use Map. Other characteristics include: • The Town Center is the recognized civic, commercial, and cultural entity. • Retail uses are expected to be relatively specialized and even unique and should easily mix with service uses and cultural places, rather than serve as the foundation of another shopping node. Minimum Requirements for Development: Uses and structural designs shall reinforce the role of the Town Center as the community focus of government, culture and social interaction. The specific design requirements are defined in the Zoning Ordinance. Utilities: All city utilities required. Typical Uses: Uses typically allowed within the C -TC designation are intended to accommodate and promote the commercial, residential, educational, cultural and governmental uses. The focus is on urban and civic design, pedestrian circulation and the creative reuse of existing buildings. Corresponding Zoning: C-3 (Specialty Business) T -T C T -TC This classification is a special designation for the fringe areas of the historical and recognized Town Center. Redevelopment stimulated by available City programs can effectively displace uses that are no longer compatible with the purposes of the Center. However, the plan recognizes that some parts of this area still in transition, especially the fringes of the C -TC, which are characterized by existing single family residential development. In order to redevelop these transitional or fringe areas, it will be necessary to accumulate several tracts of land from multiple owners. Until that occurs, the plan recognizes these existing uses. The zoning within these areas will not render these uses nonconforming. Development Location Criteria: The T -TC designation has very distinct boundaries based on the existing C -TC designation and the ultimate C -TC designation. Ultimately, the C -TC The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 34 designation is bounded by TH 13 on the east, Lakefront Park on the north, Pleasant Street on the south and West Avenue and Duluth Avenue on the west. The specific boundaries are identified on the Comprehensive Plan Land Use Map. Minimum Requirements for Development: Uses and structural designs shall reinforce the role of the Town Center as the community focus of government, culture and social interaction. The specific design requirements are defined in the Zoning Ordinance. Utilities: All city utilities required. Tvoical Uses: Existing uses within the T -CT designation may continue indefinitely. However, redevelopment of the sites shall be consistent with the uses typically allowed within the C -TC designation. The redevelopment of this area is intended to accommodate and promote the commercial, residential, educational, cultural and governmental uses. The focus is on urban and civic design, pedestrian circulation and the creative reuse of existing buildings. Corresponding Zoning: C-3 Fringe (Fringe Specialty Business) INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT CLASSI ICATION Planning for industrial development is best achieved through adoption of objectives, design criteria, and use standards that are based upon performance. Factors such as appearance, noise, smoke, fumes, fire hazard, and light are regulated at various levels of government to the point where most industries can qualify in the same high performance and compliance category. Some uses involve activities such as outdoor production and storage and hazardous materials; these must be more rigorously regulated or prohibited. Diverse industries are needed in a complex metropolitan area to provide the products, services, and employment necessary to sustain all types of development. The Commercial — Business and Office Park and the Planned Industrial classifications are designed to be responsive to the community and area needs. At present, the City has approximately 200,000 square feet of business park and industrial uses. By 2025, there will be an increase to 2,000,000 square feet.5 The City is committed to providing opportunities for business park and industrial uses, and so has doubled the amount of land designated for these future uses. The Industrial Development description includes the purpose; development location criteria; maximum building coverage; minimum requirements for development; utility availability; typical uses; and the corresponding zoning district. C — B O P C- 0 This classification is characterized by high -amenity developments with a low traffic generation rate and a site utilization that is compatible with natural features. Office parks can serve small professional services in a group setting whereas such uses might otherwise be located in retail centers or in scattered freestanding buildings. The high design standards should ensure compatibility with high density housing and the potential for shared parking, open space, convenient housing and service, and reduction of traffic generation onto public streets. 5 Prior Lake Development Potential, McComb Group, Ltd., December 2003 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 35 Primary uses are corporate headquarters; and professional and administrative offices; and limited research, development and manufacturing facilities. Related secondary uses such as restaurants where food is ordered and consumed on the premises, hotels, and other businesses having limited contact with the general public and no retail sale of products could be allowed as conditional uses. Development Location Criteria: The C -BO designation is generally located within areas meeting the following criteria: • High level of transition to all proximate residential land and development; • Near arterial access points, such as intersections of arterial and/or major collector streets; • High amenity features which are very conducive to "gateway" recognition; • Adjoining or very near existing or planned industrial or multi -residential areas; • May develop in conjunction with major commercial centers. Minimum Requirements for Development: C -BO developments are intended to provide a concentration of office and light industrial uses. Although the minimum lot size is 1 acre, the total area designated for C -BO uses should be at least 10 acres. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified C -BO. Typical Uses: High amenity facilities for professional, administrative, executive, medical, research (exclusive of heavy manufacturing and distribution), and other offices without merchandising. Retailing should be allowed only as an accessory use when it is clearly incidental to the primary use. Corresponding Zoning: C-5 (Business Park) P I I -PI This classification is characterized by developments in Industrial Parks with high standards for design and performance. Planned Industrial Parks allow uses such as the indoor manufacturing, production, processing, storage, and distribution of materials and products. Development in planned centers or complexes in separate areas of the community allows for the distribution of peak period traffic, efficient access, effective distribution of public utilities, and sound use of land suited for industry. The character of the Planned Industrial centers should be kept free of unrelated commercial uses oriented to the general public. Certain limited accessory and compatible commercial uses, listed in the Zoning Ordinance, may be allowed by conditional use permit; these should clearly serve persons who work in the district. Although closely related, it is not the purpose of this category to duplicate or conflict with the Business and Office Park (C -BO) classification. Development Location Criteria: The I -PI designation will generally meet the following characteristics: • Provide direct access to arterial streets via major collector streets or service drives • The land is appropriate and reasonably adaptable to site development without severe earthwork or removal of stands of long-lived trees The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 36 • Near other intensive land uses (commercial centers and high density multi - residential developments) • Near existing or planned mass transit routes. Minimum Requirements for Development: A minimum site area of 10 acres should be maintained; However, projects may contain 1 acre sites. Utilities: All city utilities required; utilities must be under contract for construction for land to be classified PI. Tvpsical Uses: Manufacturing, production, processing, cleaning, storage, assembly, servicing, repair, testing, or distribution of materials, goods, or products that is wholly contained within a building and which meets and maintains all applicable environmental standards established by governmental authority. Corresponding Zoning: 1-1 (General Industrial) MI ED USE DEVELOPMENT CLASSI ICATIONS MU Mixed use land designations occur where residential and commercial uses form one cohesive development. Rather than designate certain property for a specified land use, this designation allows more flexibility to work with varied land constraints, roadway access guidelines, and the local market demand. Prior Lake's Mixed Uses include four land use types: three residential and one commercial. Each land use has an allocation intended to allow for deviations from exact ercentages listed below Development location criteria: This use is ideal in areas within close proximity to main thoroughfares through the city, areas that have unique natural landscapes, areas that benefit from large -area planned development, and areas where high density housing may serve as a buffer between commercial and other lower density residential uses. The County Highway 42 corridor is an example of an area in Prior Lake that has these locational characteristics. Minimum Requirements for Development: These areas are established in the Comprehensive Plan, as amended in 2013 to comply with the recommendations of the County Highway 42 Study, as addended herein. Utilities: All city utilities required. Typical Uses: Low, medium and high density housing; retail shopping centers; high amenity facilities for professional, administrative, executive and research businesses (exclusive of heavv manufacturing and distribution). and other offices without merchandisina. MU -1 50 percent R -Low densitv: 25 percent R-Hiah Densitv: 25 percent Commercial. MU -2 25 percent R -Medium Densitv: 25 percent R-Hiah Densitv: 50 percent Commercial. MU -3 25 percent R -Low Density; 50 percent R -Medium Density; 25 percent Commercial. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 37 MU -4 75 percent R -Medium Density; 25 percent Commercial. MU - 75 percent R -Low Density; 25 percent Commercial. Corresponding Zoning: A future, Mixed Use Zoning District, or a combination of existin Residential and Commercial Zoning Districts. PAR S, RECREATION AND OPEN SPACE R -OS The Prior Lake Park and Trail System Plan is designed to provide a comprehensive and interrelated network of parks, trails, and natural resource areas for public use. The character of the community, personal conveniences, —recreation opportunity, physical environment, extent of open space, and personal living space are important to one's perception of the quality of life in a city. Parks and natural open spaces are intrinsically tied to one's perception of a quality living environment. The park and trail system plan outlined here seeks to achieve this end. This land use category is discussed in detail in Chapter 6. PUBLIC SEMI PUBLIC P -SP The purpose of this district is to accommodate future or existing land uses dedicated to permanent open space, large storm water management ponds, or other uses that are not classified in other districts and are used to benefit the public. Other uses include land owned by Scott County for right of way purposes and utility substations. This district allows the city to identify lands intended for use to benefit the public not guided for development. LA ES This category includes water bodies classified as public lakes by the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources. The lakes identifies on the plan are: • Prior Lake (Upper and Lower) • Spring Lake • Howard Lake • Mystic Lake • Haas Lake • Jeffers Pond • Pike Lake • Markley Lake • Blind Lake • Crystal Lake • Rice Lake • Campbell Lake RIGHT -0 -WAY This category includes all existing and reserved platted right-of-ways. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 38 SMSC TRUST LAND This category includes all lands owned in trust by the Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community. Although this land is located within the Prior Lake city limits, the City has no governmental jurisdiction. The trust land is part of the SMSC sovereign nation. 34 E ISTING AND UTURE LAND USE COMPARISONS The acreages included in each of the land use categories are shown in Table 3.2 below. Further analysis was completed regarding the County Highway 42 corridor. See Addendum to the Plan for a complete analysis of that study area. Table 3.2 Citv of Prior Lake 2030 Land Use Plan LAND USE TYPE ACRES %TOTAL ACRES RESIDENTIAL 8,555 56.0% Rural Density 153 1.0 Low Density 7,674 50.2 Medium Density 409 2.7 High Density 319 2.1 COMMERCIAL 700 4.6% Neighborhood Retail Shopping 33 0.2 Community Retail Shopping 508 3.3 Hospitality General Business 102 0.7 Town Center 43 0.3 Transitional Town Center 14 0.1 INDUSTRIAL 793 5.2% Business Office Park 265 1.7 Planned Industrial 528 3.5 PARKS, RECREATION, & OPEN SPACE 926 6.1% RIGHT-OF-WAY 1,317 8.6% LAKES 2,396 15.7% SMSC TRUST LAND 594 3.9% TOTAL 15,281 100% Table 3.3 is a comparison of the 2020 Land Use Plan designations with the 2030 Land Use Plan designations. Further analysis was completed regarding the County Highway 42 corridor. See Addendum to the Plan for a complete analysis of that study area. Table 3.3 Comparison of 2020 and 2030 Comprehensive Plan Land Use Desianations' The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 39 2020 PLAN 2030 PLAN LAND USE TYPE ACRES %TOTAL ACRES %TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 6,866 57.6% 8,555 56.0% COMMERCIAL 490 4.1% 700 4.6% INDUSTRIAL 387 3.2% 793 5.2% PARKS, RECREATION, & OPEN SPACE 926 7.8% 926 6.1% RIGHT-OF-WAY 993 8.3% 1,317 8.6% LAKES 1,656 13.9% 2,396 15.7% The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 39 SMSC1 594 5.0% 594 3.9% TOTAL 1 11,912 100.0% 15,281 100.00% 6 Source: City of Prior Lake, 2006 Ibid. In both the 2020 plan and the 2030 plan, residential development is the largest land use category. In the 2030 plan, the low density residential designation encompasses 50% of the land area within the City. These designations have been adjusted since the last plan was adopted in 1999 in the following manner: • The difference in the total acreage takes into account the orderly annexation area. The previous plan included only one category for Low to Medium Density Residential; the 2030 plan has divided the single category into two separate categories. The Land Use Plan designations have been adjusted based on the needs projected in the McComb Study. For example, the amount of land designated for High Density Residential has decreased from 6.4% to 2.1 % of the total, and commercial and industrial uses now account for 9.8% instead of 7.3% of the total land area. 3 VACANT LAND USE ANALYSIS The majority of vacant land within the City is planned for residential uses. Most of this land area is located within the orderly annexation area. Table 3.4 shows the designation of vacant land by land use type. Areas identified as lakes, existing parkland and existing right-of-way are not included in this table. Table 3.4 Vacant Land by Land Use Type LAND USE TYPE ACRES Rural Density Residential 48 Low Density Residential 4,023 Medium Density Residential 373 High Density Residential 192 Neighborhood Retail Shopping 13 Community Retail Shopping 421 Hospitality General Business 8 Business Office Park 225 Planned Industrial 368 Recreation Open Space 19 TOTAL 5,697 The areas identified as Rural Density Residential are not expected to have services available within the planning period of this Plan (2030), for a variety of reasons, including topography, depth and so on. Once services become available, we expect these areas to develop. Not all vacant land is developable. Factors affecting development may include topography, trees, wetlands, shoreland district restrictions, dedication of right-of-way, stormwater pending, existing trees and parkland dedication requirements. City staff estimates these factors eliminate approximately 30 percent of developable land. Table 3.5 provides an approximate density for each of the categories, and the approximate number of new The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 40 dwelling units over the next 25 years. Further analysis was completed regarding the County Highway 42 corridor. See Addendum to this Plan for a complete analysis of that study area. 8 Source: City of Prior Lake, 2005 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 41 T 3.5 R L A LAND USE GROSS DEVELOPABLE APPRO IMATE POTENTIAL UNITS TYPE ACRES ACRES DENSITY GROSS NET Low Density Residential 4,023.00 2,816.10 2 units/acre 8,046.00 5,632.20 Medium Density Residential 373.00 261.10 4.1 units/acre 1,529.30 1,070.51 High Density Residential 192.00 134.40 7.1 units/acre 1,363.2.00 954.24 TOTAL 4, 00 3,211 0 10, 3 0 , 3 STAGING O DEVELOPMENT The Metropolitan Council's Regional Development Framework classifies Prior Lake as a developing community, which are defined as "the cities where the most substantial amount of new growth — about 60 percent of new households and 40 percent of new jobs- will occur."10 The Regional Development Framework elaborates on the community role in implementing the strategies. In developing communities, this role may include: • Plan and stage development that accommodates the forecasts for local growth through 2030 at appropriate densities. • Stage local infrastructure and development plans to accommodate 20 years worth of forecasted growth. • Select and implement local controls and tools for timing and staging of development throughout the community. • Adopt ordinances to accommodate growth and use land and infrastructure efficiently. • Plan for the entire community and consider the need for additional serviceable land for growth beyond 2030. • Identify areas reserved for future urban development and develop strategies to minimize development in those areas that could preclude future urban development. • Plan for necessary infrastructure improvements including, as appropriate, executing orderly annexation agreements." Growth in the City of Prior Lake has been and will continue to be predominately residential development which not only impacts the physical resources and defines the character, but also directly contributes to the population. Population projections developed by the City for the decades through 2030 are shown in Table 3.6. This table includes estimated population, household, household size, and employment data. 9 Source: City of Prior Lake, 2005 1 0 Metropolitan Counci12030 Regional Development Framework, January 14, 2004, p. 21 11 Ibid., p. 23 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 42 Table 3.6 City of Prior Lake Population, Households and Employment 1990- 203012 The asset that supports the growth is, of course, land. The City of Prior Lake has experience phenomenal growth in the last decade, due in part to an available supply of land. Table 3.7 illustrates the residential development in the City from 2000 to 2004. The major development years, so far, have been 2000, 2001 and 2002. During that time, 1,743 new dwelling units were constructed in the City on 751 gross acres, or 373 net acres. The average net density of development was 4.67 units per acre. The years 2003 and 2004 were slower years for building, not because of lack of demand, but because the amount of available developable land in the City. The housing market itself is responsible for the slower building rates in 2005. Table 3.7 Residential Development within the Citv of Prior Lake 13 YEAR 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 POPULATION 11,482 15,917 21,395 26,500 33,300 40,000 HOUSEHOLDS 3,901 5,645 7,855 10,000 13,000 16,000 HOUSEHOLD SIZE 2.90 2.82 2.72 2.65 2.56 2.50 EMPLOYMENT 3,000 7,972 8,270 9,500 11,000 12,500 The asset that supports the growth is, of course, land. The City of Prior Lake has experience phenomenal growth in the last decade, due in part to an available supply of land. Table 3.7 illustrates the residential development in the City from 2000 to 2004. The major development years, so far, have been 2000, 2001 and 2002. During that time, 1,743 new dwelling units were constructed in the City on 751 gross acres, or 373 net acres. The average net density of development was 4.67 units per acre. The years 2003 and 2004 were slower years for building, not because of lack of demand, but because the amount of available developable land in the City. The housing market itself is responsible for the slower building rates in 2005. Table 3.7 Residential Development within the Citv of Prior Lake 13 YEAR NUMBER OF UNITS ACRES Gross Net DENSITY Gross Net 2000 515 385.74 134.36 1.34 3.83 2001 656 215.30 162.54 3.05 4.04 2002 572 150.21 75.55 3.81 7.57 2003 205 142.58 72.39 1.44 2.83 2004 214 71.37 39.93 3.00 5.36 2005 1,029 650.95 240.23 1.58 4.28 TOTAL 3,191 1,616.15 725.00 1.97 4.40 The growth of neighboring communities, the completion and opening of the new bridge over the Minnesota River at County Road 18 and State Highway 101, the connection of County Road 21 with 1-35 east of the City, and the development of intense commercial and recreational uses by the Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community will likely press development at a faster pace than anticipated by the projections made earlier in the planning process. The Metropolitan Council projections assumed residential development to proceed at a rate of 123 units per year. For the above reasons, the City has assumed a higher rate of growth. Constraints to development are both natural and man-made. Physical constraints include topographical conditions, water bodies, soil conditions, and surface characteristics (wetlands, for example). These are relatively easy to quantify and usually are thus deducted from the total calculated amount of land in the MUSA. "Developable land," therefore can be determined as a net number of acres. There are some man-made constraints to development which are due to external forces beyond the City's effective control. Examples include the general economy and interest 'Z Source: City of Prior Lake, 2006 '' Source: City of Prior Lake Annual Report to Metropolitan Council The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 43 rates, especially as they apply to construction; state laws and programs that may mandate certain limits on development tools (tax increment financing, for example) and on the City's ability to generate revenues for services through taxes; and regional policies regarding housing and the expansion of the MUSA. Other constraints include local policies that are defined by the City's vision for the future, including the desire for a rate of development that may be lower than private interests would prefer. Certain land uses may be preferred over others and this will be reflected in the City Plans and regulations. The development of the Mystic Lake complex can be viewed as an asset which provides employment opportunities, recreation and hospitality facilities available to the community, and a destination widely identified with the City). It can also be perceived as a constraint upon City development as it represents competitive facilities that reduce opportunities for similar uses on taxable real estate, traffic impact upon neighborhoods that would otherwise be controlled if the destination uses and operations were under public jurisdiction, and regional agency agreements with the Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community that provide sanitary sewer via lines through the Rural Service Area despite regional policies that strive to retain the Rural Service Area notwithstanding the desire of landowners to also use the facilities. The City's primary asset is its people and its continuing desire to plan for the future, including redevelopment and preservation of areas that established the physical and social, and political character of the community. This plan accounts for the various assets and constraints through the various elements. The Metropolitan Council Local Planning Handbook includes provisions for the City to utilize the concept of an undesignated MUSA Reserve in place of the practice of drawing an actual MUSA boundary on a map. The City of Prior Lake intends to utilize this method of designating the MUSA within the City. The handbook imposes the following conditions on the creation of an undesignated MUSA Reserve: 1. The development at each stage will be built at or above the negotiated densities. 2. New development is contiguous to the current urban service area. 3. Development at each stage can be accommodated within the planned capacity of the regional sewer system. 4. The local community adopts a premature subdivision ordinance. 5. Local infrastructure implications for all potentially designated areas have been determined and candidate sites that fall outside the capability of the local community to implement have been eliminated from consideration for development. 6. The local community development program provides the requisite local service and infrastructure needs of the proposed development for each stage while preserving the planned capacity and service level in the regional highway system. 7. Annual reporting of local use of the MUSA reserve and corresponding adjustments in the CIP are required." 1 4 Metropolitan Council Local Planning Handbook, May 1997 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 44 The City has determined that these criteria have or will be met over the course of the development cycle of the City. The City 's zoning ordinance allows development at higher densities than those negotiated as part of the Livable Communities program and the areas shown in Table 3.8 meet the contiguity requirement. The sanitary sewer component of the Comprehensive Plan shows that, even at buildout, there will be adequate capacity in the regional system to accommodate development. The City's subdivision ordinance currently includes provisions defining a premature subdivision. The Plan amendments dealing with sanitary sewers, water supply, surface water management and transportation have analyzed future needs of the community and included specific recommendations for future infrastructure improvements where necessary. The City agrees to provide the Metropolitan Council with an annual accounting of the acreages and types of development occurring in the City. The City of Prior Lake has developed its' MUSA reserve by determining the approximate acreage needed for residential development which meets the negotiated Livable Communities standards for the City to the year 2030. The acreages were determined by applying typical densities to the number of units of each type projected to be completed during each 5 year period between the present and 2030. Based on Metropolitan Council figures, there are 0.23 acres of non-residential development for each 1.0 acres of residential development that occurs in Prior Lake. Applying this factor against the estimated residential land demand of 2,288 acres adds an additional 526 acres of non- residential land for a total land demand of 2,814 acres. Based on land availability, current trends in commercial and industrial development in the area, and the results of the McComb study, the 526 acres of non-residential land is allocated as follows: commercial, 55 acres: industrial, 400 acres: public and recreational, 71 acres. Table 3.8 summarizes the land demand to 2030. The acreage figures shown in the table include the developed lot areas plus local streets, neighborhood parks and open space. They do not include wetlands. No acreage is shown for major roads or highways as the major road system is in place and significant amounts of new right-of-way are not contemplated. The overall residential density based on these figures is 3.07 dwelling units per acre. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 45 Table 3.8 Projected Development by Type and Estimated Land Demand 15 TIME FRAME # DWELLING UNITS ACRES NET RESIDENTIAL DENSITY 2005-2010 Single Family 630 315 2 units per acre Medium Density 955 233 4.1 units per acre High Density 99 14 7.1 units per acre Commercial 15 Industrial 95 Public 5 Recreational 10 SUBTOTAL 1,684 687 Average 3.0 units per acre 2010-2015 Single Family 494 247 1.9 units per acre Medium Density 763 186 4.1 units per acre High Density 85 12 7.1 units per acre Commercial 10 Industrial 85 Public 5 Recreational 6 SUBTOTAL 1,342 552 Average 3.02 units per acre 2015-2020 Single Family 534 267 1.9 units per acre Medium Density 820 200 4.1 units per acre High Density 85 12 7.1 units per acre Commercial 15 Industrial 80 Public 8 Recreational 10 SUBTOTAL 1,439 592 Average 3.00units per acre 2020-2025 Single Family 574 287 1.9 units per acre Medium Density 886 216 4.1 units per acre High Density 100 14 7.1 units per acre Commercial 10 Industrial 85 Public 5 Recreational 12 SUBTOTAL 1,560 629 Average 3.02 units per acre 2025-2030 Single Family 474 158 1.9 units per acre Medium Density 488 119 4.1 units per acre High Density 57 8 7.1 units per acre Commercial 5 Industrial 55 Public 5 Recreational 5 SUBTOTAL 1,019 355 Average 3.57 units per acre TOTALS 7,044 2,814 Average 3.07 units per acre " Source: City of Prior Lake The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 46 In order to ensure that development which is proposed does not strain City resources, the City will apply the following criteria in judging whether a proposed development is eligible to have sanitary sewer services extended. • Property shall be contiguous to property already within the MUSA. • MUSA designation shall only be given to developments having a recorded final plat and a signed developer's agreement with surety covering necessary infrastructure improvements to be installed as part of the development. • Where applicable, utility improvements will address health, safety and environmental issues and concerns. • The development will be consistent with the Comprehensive Plan. • The development will provide adequate water supplies. • The development will provide adequate roads and streets to serve the development. • The development will provide for adequate sanitary sewer facilities. • The development will proceed consistent with applicable environmental policies and regulations. • The developer and benefiting property owners shall assume the primary responsibility for financing improvement costs. The City will participate in such financing only under extraordinary circumstances. • Preliminary plan approval shall not constitute a guarantee that a MUSA allocation will be made to the subject property. • The development shall proceed under the understanding that the project will be maintained in accordance with the limitations imposed by the City and the Metropolitan Council regarding MUSA availability and potential sewage flows from the project. The City and Metropolitan Council shall be indemnified by the developer against any claims arising as a result of future limitations on MUSA availability. • The City agrees to annually report on all allocations of undesignated MUSA reserve to the Metropolitan Council. Figure 3.3 shows those areas in the City which have potential to be included in the MUSA during the course of the next 25 years. The shaded areas shown have an area of approximately 3,933 acres. 3.7 ORDERLY ANNE ATION AREA In 1972, the City of Prior Lake and Spring Lake Township entered into an orderly annexation agreement covering Sections 1, 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 11, 12 and the east half of Sections 5 and 8. By 2000, the terms and conditions of the 1972 agreement had become outdated or invalid, so in 2003 a new agreement was negotiated between the City and Spring Lake Township. This agreement provides for the staged annexation of more than 3,000 acres by the year 2024. The large majority of this acreage will be annexed by 2014. Sections 1, 2, 3 and part of 10 and 11 have since been incorporated into the City. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 47 The City determined that an updated agreement was necessary, given the City's past experience with annexation. It is very difficult to introduce public improvements into areas currently served with septic tanks and wells. In addition, resubdivision of the property is made more difficult because of improper home placement on large lots and a general lack of consideration for future redevelopment options. In addition, there is limited opportunity to obtain parks and open space, utility easements, street right-of-way and trails to link the area to the rest of the community. The intent of the agreement is to restrict large lot development in the annexation areas so it is easier to provide urban services when the property is finally annexed. The orderly annexation agreement also provides the land area needed to meet the demand for housing in this area. Figure 3.4 is a map identifying the orderly annexation area, and the year of annexation. 3 PROTECTION ELEMENT Minnesota Statutes (MS) Chapter 473.859, §2b requires the Comprehensive Plan contain a protection element, "as appropriate, for historic sites, the matters listed in the water management plan required by section 1038.235, and an element for protection and development of access to direct sunlight for solar energy systems. X16 The requirements of Minnesota Statutes 1038.235 are included within Chapter 7, the Surface Water Management Plan. This section deals with the remaining items. TREE PRESERVATION Objective #2 in the Environmental and Natural Resource Protection Goal states "provide for conservation and protection of the natural resources." One of the policies under this objective is to "require all developers to retain the natural environment as much as possible such as the preservation of desirable trees, shrubs, land forms, wetlands and ponding areas."77 To implement this goal the City has adopted tree preservation and replacement requirements as part of the Zoning Ordinance.18 NAN;Ikik1[07kiKo»N;16r_villILI]N;ED]=LTA =I'[*]:J►y�1=1►kI The City has adopted language in the subdivision ordinance dealing with premature subdivisions, consistent with the requirements for an undesignated MUSA reserve. The adopted language defines the conditions that determine whether a subdivision is premature.19 I►yi11►14 :TA 0=M0:7_To01*]► There are very few gravel deposits of significant commercial potential within the City; however, the Zoning Ordinance allows mining and excavation as a temporary use with approval of a conditional use permit.20 16 Minnesota Statutes 473.859, §2b. 17 City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Plan, Chapter 2 18 City of Prior Lake Zoning Ordinance, Section 1107.2100 190 City of Prior Lake Subdivision Ordinance, Section 1002.700 z City of Prior Lake Zoning Ordinance, Section 1101.509 The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 48 HISTORIC NATURAL RESOURCE AREAS The natural resource area of greatest historical significance is Prior Lake and Spring Lake. Currently, the City enforces both Shoreland and Floodplain management ordinances which regulate development not only near Prior Lake and Spring Lake, but within 1,000 feet of any lake within the City. In addition, the surface water management chapter of this plan contains a number of policies and recommended actions that will act to minimize adverse impacts on these two major water bodies, as well as smaller ponds and wetlands within the City. SOLAR ACCESS PROTECTION STATEMENT The City of Prior Lake shall continue to consider the impacts on solar access for all new development within the City. 3 COUNTY HIGHWAY 42 STUDY AREA Since the completion of the 2030 Prior Lake Comprehensive plan in 2006, the City has experienced a downturn in the residential growth that it had experienced throughout the 1990's and 2000's. Therefore the City commissioned a land use and transportation study along County Highway 42 to better understand constraints and opportunities where most of future residential and commercial development is guided. This study specifically analyzed how existing environmental constraints, existence and phasing of utilities, and current residential and commercial market trends will influence development along County Highway 42 between 2013 and 2030. Through analysis of existing conditions, market trends, and community visioning with residents, the study provides a revised land use vision to amend the current comprehensive plan.The complete study can be found as an Addendum to this Plan. Below is a summary of the County Highway 42 Study's findings related to land use, based on analysis of the existing conditions: • Eighty to ninety acres of additional commercial property is needed city-wide to meet the demand by 2030; • Twenty to thirty acres of industrial land is needed city wide to meet the demand by 2030; • Current housing data suggests a significantly lower average of annual new starts (150- 180 per year) than that reported in the 2005 comprehensive plan. Therefore, a discussion of the location of new residential housing in Prior Lake is necessary; • Some property in the study areas has immediate availability for sewer and water. The easternmost properties in the study area do not have ready access to sewer and water facilities, and have significant environmental resource; therefore development should be stage accordingly; • Property owners and the City of Prior Lake have a desire to develop their property in a market-driven way; therefore, their individual thoughts and desires should influence the outcome of this study. Below is a summary of the County Highway 42 Study's recommendations, based on the analysis from the study: 1) Reduce the amount of land guided for solely residential. The study recommends a flexible The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 49 approach through establishment of Mixed Use districts rather than limiting land to Primarily low-density, single-family uses; 2) Reduce the amount of land guided for Business Office Park or commercial only. Based on the completed market studies and an analysis of the amount of land currently guided for business office, the study recommends a reduction of the amount of land guided solelv for commercial uses: 3) Create new land use designations for Mixed Use, prescribing the amount of each land use within that mixed use area; 4) It is anticipated that the land currently owned in fee by SMSC will be entered into trust prior to its development. Portions of this land have been designated for low-density housing and for mixed use, which allows for proper planning of the area, but acknowledges that final layout and plans fall within the control of the SMSC, especially if the land is put into trust; 5) Add a land use designation for public/semi-public. This purpose of this district is to accommodate future or existing land uses dedicated to permanent open space, stormwater management ponds, or other lands owned by public or semi-public agencies, such as right-of-way and utility substations. A complete analysis of this study area can be found in the Addendum to this Plan. The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 50 2 1 COUNTY HIGHWAY 42 STUDY Since the completion of the 2030 Prior Lake Comprehensive plan in 2006-T, the City has experienced an economic downturn; similar to the economic trends felt nationwide. Therefore the City commissioned a land use and transportation study along County Highway 42 to better understand constraints and opportunities where most of future residential and commercial development is guided. This study specifically analyzed how existing environmental constraints, existence and phasing of utilities and current residential and commercial market trends will influence development along County Highway 42 between 2013 and 2030. Through analysis of existing conditions, market trends, and community visioning with residents, the study provides a revised land use vision and transportation plan to amend the current comprehensive plan. Below is a summary of the County Highway 42 Study's findings related to transportation, based on analysis of the existing conditions: • County Highway 42 needs to function at a high-level in order to accommodate future traffic demand. • Access to County Highway 42 will be limited to preserve mobility and maintain safety. Roadway connections to County Highway 42 should generally be collector roadways and above, with a majority of the connections being other principal or minor arterials. • 200 feet of right of way along County Highway 42 should be preserved to ensure that adequate capacity can be provided along the corridor. As plats and development along the highway are submitted for review and comment, this area must be shown for roadway/tral purposes. • Future demand on County Highway 42 will increase as land uses intensify and more development occurs. • Due to limited access to the county highway network, a majority of the access to future development will need to come from city street network and street network operated by the SMSC. These street networks need to provide continuous travel where feasible. • Portions of the existing roadway network will be above capacity (roadway will become congested) without improvements. Segments of roadways expected to experience congestion include: County Highway 42 west of County Highway 83 (Canterbury Road S); County Highway 42 between County Highway 83 and County Highway 18. • Based on the network identified in the revised concept plan, adequate connections should be provided for local trips. • The proposed roadway network and access plan has some flexibility as implementation occurs. Alignments and exact access locations may be tweaked as plats are submitted and reviewed by the county and city. However, roadway connections that are shown as continuous need to be so. The type of access shown in the plan is the expected access along the corridor. Below is a summary of the County Highway 42 Study's recommendations related to transportation, based on the study's analysis: 1) The transportation network should guide the development of local street connections that support intensification of land use along County Highway 42. N � � The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 94 rt�,mtso�' 2) The proposed transportation network andaccess map show the ultimate connections and access types that are proposed along/near the corridor. Because development is incremental, not all of the changes will be made at once, nor are they likely all needed at once. This means that some connections may not be completed until additional development occurs and some access locations may not get their traffic signals right away. Traffic signals should only be installed once the intersection meets the required signal warrants. 3) The supporting roadway network should be sensitive to environmental resources within the community. Impacts to wetlands, slopes, etc. should be avoided if possible and minimized if they cannot be avoided. 4) The supporting roadway network should be continuous where possible so that local trips between places on one side of the corridor or the other can avoid having to access County Highway 42 and other county highways in the study area. Having a continuous frontage/backage road system along County Highway 42 also reduces pressure and the need for expansion on County Highway 42. Failure to have a continuous network will increase traffic demands on County Highway 42 and will result in additional congestion. 5) Efforts should be made to coordinate with the SMSC and Scott County as development and planning for development occurs. 6) Transportation connections and modifications to access should be discussed with developers/property owners, the city and the county prior to official submittal of plans and plats. 7) Scott County and the City of Prior Lake should work together to make improvements to the county highway network as traffic volumes on county facilities approach their capacity limits. 8) Additional capacity (travel lanes) will be needed on County Highway 42 west of County Highway 83. Scott County has identified the need to widen County Highway 42 from four to six travel lanes in its plans. The city and county should work together to ensure that those plans are implemented in the appropriate timeframe. 5.3 TRAILS AND SIDEWAL S PLAN This subject will be discussed in greater detail in Chapter 6. 4 TRANSIT PLAN The City of Prior Lake provides public transit service within the City, including peak hour express service to and from downtown Minneapolis and a local circulator service. Additionally, Scott County Transit offers specialized transportation programs for the disabled and elderly residents of Prior Lake including fixed routes, dial -a -ride and voluntary drivers. In keeping with the limited availability of transit service, the number of Prior Lake residents using transit is modest, although stable. Continued population growth in Prior Lake, severe congestion in the 1-35W and TH 169 corridors and transit services improvements will likely increase transit ridership. The City of Prior Lake supports the continued development of appropriate transit services in the area in coordination with the Metropolitan Council Transportation Division, the Minnesota Valley Transit Authority, and other transit providers. The City will work with these and other organizations and individuals to encourage the demand for public transit and to design new services and facilities. Well -utilized transit services can contribute to congestion relief on major roadways in the community while providing important mobility for certain residents. N � � The City of Prior Lake 2030 Comprehensive Land Use Plan 95 rt�,mtso�'