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HomeMy WebLinkAbout02 08 2016 Flood Study Report SURFACE WATER MODELING AND FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDY JOINT WORKSHOP February 8, 2016, 5:00 PM Prior Lake City Hall, Parkview Conference Room INTRODUCTION In the spring of 2014, the Prior Lake Spring Lake watershed experienced record amounts of precipitation which led to a historic flooding event. This event triggered many questions and highlighted the need to update tools that help inform decisions and policies of the organizations within the watershed. In particular modeling of the watershed needed to be updated and flood mitigation strategies for future events evaluated. The current model was developed in 1995 to determine flood elevations on Prior Lake. This model was approved by FEMA and established the flood elevation for Prior Lake at 908.9 feet. Since this model was completed more precise topographic information has been made available. In addition, the precipitation data used by the industry to calculate storm runoff has been updated (Atlas 14). A review of the flooding event was held at a September 22, 2014 joint work session. One of the items discussed was a collaborative effort with all three organizations, Watershed District, Spring Lake Township, and the City of Prior Lake, to complete the needed flood study. PLSLWD, working with the City of Prior Lake and Spring Lake Township, has been working with the selected consultant to complete that study which included updating modeling of the watershed, review of flood-related issues and historical projects, identification and evaluation of a suite of potential flood reduction strategies, and creation of an implementation plan. The scope also included a public input process that engaged a broad range of stakeholders and included local units of government, lake associations, the agricultural community and private landowners. Attachment 1 is the agenda for this meeting. Attachment 2 shows the project process and public meeting components. CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES There has been a considerable amount of work over the last ten months in relation to modeling of the watershed, developing flood reduction strategies, and evaluating those strategies in relation to benefits and costs. The study is at a point where input is needed from the policy makers as to what priorities should be used in the final draft of the study. This joint meeting of the Spring Lake Town Board, Prior Lake Spring Lake Watershed District Board and the Prior Lake City Council has been scheduled to review the Surface Water Modeling and Flood Damage Reduction Study and obtain the needed input. Staff from all three organizations as well as the engineering consultant will provide a summary of the modeling and technical evaluation of various strategies that could be used to reduce the risk of flood damage. To aid in the discussion a number of handouts have been attached. Each handout will be reviewed in greater detail at the work session. Attachment 3 Shows a map of the options. Attachment 4 is the summary of the scoring criteria and scoring of the options. Attachment 5 shows the impact of the various options on the level of Prior Lake and the corresponding property and access impacts. Staff will also help facilitate a dialogue on a number of policy issues to help refine the final outcomes of the study. These policy questions were presented to the Advisory Group at a meeting on February 4, 2016. Feedback from the group is incorporated below. 1) Should public dollars be used to protect public infrastructure (i.e. sanitary sewer and water utilities)? There was fairly consistent support that the City has a responsibility to protect and minimize damage to public infrastructure. In particular it is imperative that sanitary sewer and water systems remain uncompromised to minimize any health and safety issues. 2) To what degree should access be provided? Building from the first policy question, streets and more importantly the access that streets provide was considered separately. The Advisory Group found three street/access priorities. These priorities included access for emergency services, major transportation routes (CR21), local access. 3) To what degree should public dollars be used to protect or assist in the protection of private property? The Advisory Group had a variety of opinions on this topic. There were some who felt it was a government’s responsibility to provide access to properties through public rights-of-way, however not necessarily protect the property itself. However, there was not specific feedback on temporary access disturbances including frequency and duration. Some felt that public dollars should not be used to make specific improvements to private property (i.e. flood proofing or buyouts) but did support strategies such as upstream storage. Some felt that flooding with a longer duration between events was okay, but we should consider protecting homes that get flooded on a greater frequency (i.e. every 25 years). Staff is seeking specific feedback as to the level of protection that should be considered. With this direction a final suite of strategies will be developed, an implementation plan suggested and identification of funding opportunities. Once the study documents are finalized a final community meeting will be held to solicit input from the general public. Finally the study will be presented to each organization for consideration of approval/adoption. The last topic of the night will be to discuss the upcoming state bonding bill. This bill provides an opportunity to fund a portion of the potential project(s) identified with the study. Staff will provide a summary of the legislative process and discuss support for a request. SURFACE WATER MODELING AND FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDY JOINT WORKSHOP Monday, February 8, 2016 5:00-6:50 p.m. Prior Lake City Hall 5:00-5:10 p.m. Welcome, Introductions & Purpose of the Meeting Ken Hedberg, Mayor Kathy Nielsen, Clerk, Spring Lake Township 5:10-5:15 p.m. Focus of the Meeting & Key Questions Karen Chandler, Facilitator & Engineer, Barr Engineering 5:15-5:30 p.m. History of Flood Protection Diane Lynch, District Administrator, PLSLWD Katy Gehler, Public Works & Natural Resources Director 5:30-5:35 p.m. Study Process Katy Gehler 5:35-6:00 p.m. Options Review Diane Lynch 6:00-6:40 p.m. Policy Questions Katy Gehler & Karen Chandler 6:40-6:45 p.m. 2016 Bonding Bill Legislative Effort Diane Lynch 6:45-6:50 p.m. Wrap-up Karen Chandler Update the Watershed Model & Gather Information Public kick-off meeting: February 19, 2015  Provided overview of the project  Solicited input on flood damage reduction scenarios Evaluate Flood Reduction Options Identify Flood Reduction Options Finalize Implementation Plan Develop Watershed Model 1st Advisory Group Meeting: May 7, 2015  Gathered feedback on model results, flood damage reduction scenarios and evaluation criteria/matrix 2nd Public Meeting: May 28, 2015  Will provide feedback on options evaluation criteria, review modeling results, and recommend flood mitigation goals Watershed Modeling to Evaluate Options 2nd Advisory Group Meeting: February 4, 2016  Gather feedback on modeling results & possible mitigation options Farmer Listening Session: February 3, 2016 3rd Public Meeting: March  Review draft implementation plan Prepare Final Recommendation: April Watershed District/City/Township Meetings: April  Board/council approval/adoption of implementation plan Stormwater Management & Flood Mitigation Study Advisory Group – Provides input from key stakeholders throughout the project. Includes PLSLWD’s Citizen Advisory Committee (CAC), City of Prior Lake’s Lakes Advisory Committee (LAC), Lake Associations, watershed district managers, and elected officials. Public – Generates flood mitigation ideas, stays informed on the process, and assists in reaching out to inform the wider community regarding the status of this planning effort. 2015 FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE through DEC 2016 JAN FEB MAR APR Project Process UPDATED: January 2016 Joint Flood Study Meeting: February 8, 2016  Meeting with Watershed District/City/Township to gather feedback on modeling results and possible mitigation options Option #2: Increase Prior Lake Outlet Increase the capacity of the Prior Lake outlet structure to 85 cfs (20 cfs greater than current conditions). Cost: $3M 100-year flood level: 905.4 Option #1: Spring Lake Storage Install an outlet structure on Spring Lake, raising the existing Spring Lake 100-year flood level by 1.2 feet. Cost: $4.1M 100-year flood level: 906.3 Option #3: Upstream Storage Work with upstream landowners to create storage at nine (9) upper watershed priority sites. Cost: $2.9M 100-year flood level: 905.8 Option #4: Combine Options #1, #2 & #3 By installing all three options above, there is a chance for the greatest amount of flooding reduction on Prior Lake. Cost: $10M 100-year flood level: 904.4 Surface Water Modeling & Flood Damage Reduction Study Option #6: Actively Manage Outlet Actively manage the low-flow gate on the Prior Lake Outlet Structure (assumes full capacity above NWL) Cost: $0.1M 100-year flood level: 906.6 Option #5: Flood-proofing Flood-proofing for at-risk primary structures. Cost: $35M Option #0: Existing Managed Protection Existing Conditions. Manage protection through temporary protection on as-needed basis. Cost: $1M 100-year flood level: 907.1 Wa t e r Q u a l i t y a n d N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s B e n e f i t s Sto r m w a t e r M a n a g e m e n t B e n e f i t s Fe a s i b i l i t y I s s u e s Hu m a n I m p a c t s Ris k F a c t o r s BE N E F I T + R I S K S C O R E Co s t o f P r o j e c t FIN A L B E N E F I T / C O S T S C O R E Option #0:Existing Managed Protection 0 0 50 -10 0 40 1 40 $1M Option #1:Spring Lake Storage 2 200 -116 10 -40 56.5 4.1 14 $4.1M Option #2:Increase Prior Lake Outlet 0 400 13 10 -80 343 3 114 $3M Option #3:Upsteam Storage 6 330 -65 20 -20 271 2.9 93 $2.9M Option #4:Combine Options #1, #2 & #3 6 670 -196 10 -60 430 10 43 $10M Option #5:Flood-Proofing 0 535 25 10 0 570 35 16 $35M Option #6:Actively Manage Outlet 0 100 45 20 -20 145 0.1 1450 $0.1M *This chart was last updated on 2/5/16. Obstacles: Does not improve access to residential properties, businesses, and public roads. Concerns of safety due to inaccessible properties. Obstacles: Would require necessary approvals and support from Prior Lake Outlet Channel partners. Potential to cause engative effects during drought conditions. Obstacles: Continued impacts to structures on Prior Lake. Concerns of safety due to inaccessible properties. Project readiness is a limitation. Obstacles: Would require necessary permits & approvals, as well as easements/agreements on 261 properties. Impacts to landowners on Spring Lake. Minimal risk of negative effects to Prior Lake during drought conditions. Obstacles: Need to secure necessary permits & approvals, as well as support from Prior Lake Outlet Channel partners. Potential impacts to landowners downstream. Obstacles: Would require necessary permits for water control structures. Need to secure easements or purchase land on 120 properties. Impacts to landowners in upper watershed. Obstacles: Need to secure necessary permits & approvals. Impacts to landowners in upper watershed and downstream. Potential for negative effects during drought conditions. Options Score Card Each option was scored based on the following criteria. Each criteria was weighted based on importance to project implementation. Water Quality and Natural Resources Benefits Minimizes downstream pollution impacts &/or deposition of sediments Restores wetlands to their native conditions Controls impact of artificial drainage systems Enhances the effectiveness of existing BMPs (improves upon prior investment) Provides additional/improved habitat for fish and/or wildlife Stormwater Management Benefits Increases stormwater storage &/or reduces runoff rates Provides opportunity for groundwater recharge &/or improves drought tolerance Reduction of peak Prior Lake 100-year flood level Improved level of Prior Lake flood protection Restores Natural Hydrology Feasibility Issues Legal authority: Level of effort required to secure permits and necessary approvals Is there current access to the property in order to implement the project? Will we need to secure easements or purchase property? Project readiness: Amount of time needed to prepare/prep for the project Amount of time need to complete the project Human Impacts Improves access to area roadways & businesses Public acceptance/Stakeholder Groups Impacted: People/communities downstream of Prior Lake Prior Lake land owners Spring Lake land owners Upper watershed landowners (including Arctic Lake interests) Risk Factors Potential for the project to cause detrimental effects during drought conditions. Potential for the project to cause detrimental effects downstream/upstream. Cost of Project Total cost of project Funding Opportunities Scoring Criteria 902 902.5 903 903.5 904 904.5 905 905.5 906 906.5 907 907.5 908 908.5 909 2-year 5-year 10-year 25-year 50-year 100-year 500-year Option #0: Existing Managed Protection ($0.2M) Option #1: Spring Lake Storage ($4.1M) Option #2: Increase Prior Lake Outlet ($3M) Option #3: Upstream Storage ($2.9M) Option #4: Combine Options #1, #2 & #3 ($10M) 3 primary structures ($1.5M to buyout) 1 inaccessible property 16 primary structures ($8M to buyout) 20 inaccessible properties 6 primary structures ($3M to buyout) 8 inaccessible properties 29 primary structures ($14.5M to buyout) 27 inaccessible properties 38 primary structures ($19M to buyout) 39 inaccessible properties 49 primary structures ($25.5M to buyout) 58 inaccessible properties 69 primary structures ($34.5M to buyout) 87 inaccessible properties 91 primary structures ($45.5M to buyout) 118 inaccessible properties 105 primary structures ($52.5M to buyout) 134 inaccessible properties 133 primary structures ($66.5M to buyout) 138 inaccessible properties Current FEMA 100-year flood level: 908.9 2014 peak flood level: 906.2 No-Wake Level: 904.0 Ordinary high water level: 903.9 Normal water level: 902.5 La k e El e v a t i o n s o f L o w e r P r i o r L a k e (f e e t a b o v e s e a l e v e l ) Frequency of Flood Events Im p a c t s to P r o p e r t i e s o n L o w e r P r i o r & U p p e r P r i o r L a k e s Revised FEMA 100-year flood level: 907.1 (not yet approved) Flood Impacts on Prior Lake