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HomeMy WebLinkAbout10 10 2016 Maxfield Research Phone 952.447.9800 / Fax 952.447.4245 / www.cityofpriorlake.com 4646 Dakota Street SE Prior Lake, MN 55372 CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION REPORT MEETING DATE: OCTOBER 10, 2016 AGENDA #: 1 PREPARED BY: DAN ROGNESS, COMMUNITY / ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR PRESENTED BY: DAN ROGNESS AGENDA ITEM: MAXFIELD RESEARCH HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT INTRODUCTION: Public entities in the metropolitan area are required by law to prepare a comprehensive plan. The land use plan is the basis of the plan. Land use plans should be consistent with anticipated market conditions. The Scott County Community Development Agency has requested that Maxfirld Research update previous residential and commercial development projections for every public entity in Scott County. The residential portion of the study has been completed. This information is particularly important to Prior Lake since we are in excess of 90% residential. Mary Bujold of Maxfield Research will present results of the recently updated Comprehensive Housing Needs Assessment for Scott County. She will focus on Prior Lake. The study provides significant data on population, households, and housing for each community in Scott County. The demand analysis for 2016 to 2040 breaks housing into the following categories: General Occupancy: A. For Sale Demand 1) Single Family 2) Multifamily B. Rental Demand 1) Market Rate 2) Shallow-Subsidy 3) Deep-Subsidy Senior Housing: A. Senior Rental 1) Shallow Subsidy 2) Deep Subsidy 3) Market Rate 4) Congregate 5) Assisted Living 6) Memory Care B. Senior Ownership 2 This study is based on an analysis of market demand, which can be used as a base of information for the 2040 Comprehensive Plan update process. The Met Council has provided population and household forecasts to 2040, showing 5,500 new housing units over the next 25 years in Prior Lake (an average of 220 per year). However, the Council’s forecasts do not show what type of households and housing units are within that figure. The Maxfield study helps us evaluate future housing types. The Planning Commission and Economic Development Authority have been invited to join the city council since each body will play a role in the preparation of the comprehensive plan. Members of each of those bodies are encouraged to ask questions so they will understand both the data, study process and the implications of the study results.