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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1A NSI Presentation Prior Lake Utlity Study PPTRC 18- UTILITY STUDY Financial Management Plan for Water and Sanitary Sewer Council Workshop Monday, November 4, 2019 Tammy Omdal, Northland Public Finance RC 18- Introduction of the Plan To serve as a guide for the financial management of the water and sanitary sewer systems 2 RC 18- Study Objectives Revenue Sufficiency Rate Calculation 3 RC 18- Study Objectives Revenue Sufficiency Develop and populate a forecasting model that will determine the level of annual revenue needed to satisfy each system’s projected annual operating, capital costs, and debt service while maintaining adequate reserves for future capital needs of the City Avoid future issuance of debt for capital improvements 4 RC 18- Study Objectives Rate Calculation Review existing rate structures for the utilities and develop modifications, as appropriate, to ensure that rates reflect accepted practices, fair and equitable distribution of costs, and competitiveness with other communities 5 RC 18- Study Approach City provided: Data on customer bills for 2017 and 2018, with adjustments for certain customers due to meter readings and other adjustments Historical financial data, along with current year estimates, and preliminary 2020 budget Input and feedback on assumptions and different scenarios for the Plan 6 RC 18- Revenue Sufficiency Revenue to meet current and future obligations Avoid future debt issuance consistent with City objectives Cash on-hand to provide: Three-months of operating expense Following-year debt service payments Following year capital acquisition (planned to be paid from cash) Reserves for replacement of infrastructure located under private streets Reserves for future capital improvements 7 RC 18- Rate Calculation Current Rate Structure Base rate Capital facility charge Two tiers / block rates for water One tier /block rate for sanitary sewer Proposed Rate Structure Base rate Four tiers / block rates for water Four tiers /block rates for sanitary sewer Base rate for customers located on private streets for infrastructure replacement 8 RC 18- Rate Calculation 9 Figure 2.Figure 3. WATER SERVICES WATER SERVICES PRELIMINARY 2020 BUDGET PROPOSED FOR YEAR 2021 VOLUME BASED RATES VOLUME BASED RATES Tier 1 25,000 $5.05 73.4%Tier 1 10,000 $3.40 55.6% Tier 2 $6.96 38%26.6%Tier 2 20,000 $4.08 20%15.2% Tier 3 Tier 3 30,000 $5.30 30%6.4% Tier 4 Tier 4 > 30,000 $7.96 50%22.7% FIXED RATES FIXED RATES Base Charge $2.50 Base Charge $20.00 $5.00 $20.00 % of Water Sold by Tier Type of Charge Per Billing Period Per Customer Capital Facilities Charge Tiers Units in Tier Per Period Unit Rate $/Unit % Increase in Tier Rate, Per Tier Private Street Replacement Charge % of Water Sold by Tier Units in Tier Per PeriodTiers Unit Rate $/Unit % Increase in Tier Rate, Per Tier Per Billing Period Per Customer Type of Charge RC 18- Rate Calculation 10 Figure 4.Figure 5. SANITARY SEWER SERVICES SANITARY SEWER SERVICES PRELIMINARY 2020 BUDGET PROPOSED FOR YEAR 2021 VOLUME BASED RATES VOLUME BASED RATES Tier 1 $3.89 100.0%Tier 1 10,000 $2.50 70.4% Tier 2 Tier 2 20,000 $3.00 20.0%12.6% Tier 3 Tier 3 30,000 $3.90 30.0%2.5% Tier 4 Tier 4 >30,000 $5.85 50.0%14.6% FIXED RATES FIXED RATES Base Charge $2.50 Base Charge $17.00 $5.00 $20.00Private Street Replacement Charge Capital Facilities Charge Tiers Units in Tier Per Period Unit Rate $/Unit % Increase in Tier Rate, Per Tier Type of Charge Per Billing Period Per Customer % of Volume Sold by Tier Type of Charge Per Billing Period Per Customer % of Volume Sold by Tier Tiers Units in Tier Per Period Unit Rate $/Unit % Increase in Tier Rate, Per Tier RC 18-Proposed Rate Structure Water Fund 11 Tiers Units in Tier / Period Usage in Tier Customer Bills in Tier Customer Bills Per Billing Period 1, 2 Unit Rate $/unit Volume Sold at Tier (in 1,000 Gallons) Revenue Tier 1 10,000 55.6%61.7%5,512 $3.40 407,287 $1,384,775 Tier 2 20,000 15.2%31.8%2,844 $4.08 111,530 $455,040 Tier 3 30,000 6.4%4.8%430 $5.30 47,181 $250,059 Tier 4 - 22.7%1.7%154 $7.96 166,322 $1,323,921 Volume Basis Revenue 732,319 $3,413,795 Base Rate Revenue 8,941 $20.00 $1,072,900 Private Street Replacement Revenue 1,570 $20.00 $188,400 Net Rounding Differences $244 Water Fund Total Operating Revenue $4,675,340 Based on Proposed New Rate Structure Projected Year 2021 Table 3 RC 18-Proposed Rate Structure Sanitary Sewer 12 Tiers Units in Tier / Period Usage in Tier Customer Bills in Tier Customer Bills Per Billing Period 1, 2 Unit Rate $/unit Volume Sold at Tier (in 1,000 Gallons) Revenue Tier 1 10,000 70.4%67.0%5,955 $2.50 396,961 $992,401 Tier 2 20,000 12.6%26.8%2,383 $3.00 70,791 $212,372 Tier 3 30,000 2.5%4.8%423 $3.90 13,841 $53,981 Tier 4 - 14.6%1.4%129 $5.85 82,239 $481,096 Volume Basis Revenue 563,831 $1,739,850 Disposal (Volume Basis) MCES Charge Revenue $3.19 555,738 $1,773,138 Base Rate Revenue 8,889 $17.00 $906,644 Private Street Replacement Revenue 1,570 $20.00 $188,400 Net Rounding Differences -$318 Sanitary Sewer Total Operating Revenue $4,607,713 Projected Year 2021 Based on Proposed New Rate Structure Table 4 RC 18-Rate Calculation Volume by Classification 13 Water Customers Residential, Single Family Residential, Multi-Family Commercial Sprinklers All Other Sanitary Sewer Customers Residential, Single Family Residential, Multi-Family Commercial All Others Residential, single family, customers comprise the largest share of customers RC 18-Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 14 52%48% Water Customers Winter (Feb) Billing Period Customer bills with a reduction Customer bills with an increase 60% 40% Water Customers Summer (Aug) Billing Period Customer bills with a reduction Customer bills with an increase RC 18-Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 15 60% 40% Sanitary Sewer Customers Winter (Feb) Billing Period Customer bills with a reduction Customer bills with an increase 53% 47% Sanitary Sewer Customers Summer (Aug) Billing Period Customer bills with a reduction Customer bills with an increase RC 18- 16 Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 0%10%20%30%40% ($15) to ($10) ($10) to ($5) ($5) to $0 $0 to $5 $5 to $10 $10 to $300 Percent of Total Bills (Customers) More than half (52%) of customers will see a reduction in winter Water bill RC 18- 17 Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 0%5%10%15%20%25% ($20) to ($15) ($15) to ($10) ($10) to ($5) ($5) to $0 $0 to $5 $5 to $10 $10 to $40 $40 to $600 Percent of Total Bills (Customers) More than half (60%) of customers will see a reduction in summer Water bill RC 18- 18 Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 0%10%20%30%40% ($15) to ($10) ($10) to ($5) ($5) to $0 $0 to $5 $5 to $10 $10 to $40 $40 to $700 Percent of Total Bills (Customers) More than half (60%) of customers will see a reduction in winter Sanitary Sewer bill RC 18- 19 Rate Calculation Impact of Proposed Rate Structure 0%10%20%30%40%50% ($10) to ($5) ($5) to $0 $0 to $5 $5 to $10 $40 to $700 Percent of Bills Total Bills (Customers) More than half (53%) of customers will see a reduction in summer Sanitary Sewer bill RC 18- Fixed and Variable Expense 20 58% 9% 33% Water Fund Fixed Costs Fixed Costs / Transfers to Other Funds Variable Costs Utility funds provide revenue to the General Fund, Equipment Fund, and Facilities Fund resulting in lower City property tax levy 39% 8% 53% Sanitary Sewer Fund Fixed Costs Fixed Costs / Transfers to Other Funds Variable Costs RC 18-Non-Volume Basis and Volume Basis Revenue 21 9% 91% Water Fund Projected 2020 Non-Volume Basis Volume Basis 27% 73% Water Fund Projected 2021 Non-Volume Basis Volume Basis Change in rate structure will result in an increase in non-volume basis revenue to help offset a greater portion of fixed costs RC 18-Non-Volume Basis and Volume Basis Revenue 22 10% 90% Sanitary Sewer Fund Projected 2020 Non-Volume Basis Volume Basis 24% 76% Sanitary Sewer Fund Projected 2021 Non-Volume Basis Volume Basis Change in rate structure will result in an increase in non-volume basis revenue to help offset a greater portion of fixed costs RC 18- 23 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 2020202120222023202420252026202720282029MillionsChart 1 Water Fund Projected Ending Cash Position Projected Cash Position With Projected Future Rate Adjustments Minimum Cash Position to Meet Minimum Requirements Difference between Projected Cash Position and Minimum Cash Position represents the net amount of cash projected to be available as reserves for future capital improvements. The Plan does not anticipate the issuance of debt to finance capital improvements. Revenue Sufficiency Water Fund RC 18- 24 $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 $7.0 201920202021202220232024MillionsChart 2 Water Fund Projected Ending Cash by Designation For future capital improvements For following year pay-go capital For Private Street Replacement For 3-months of operating cash For following year debt service Revenue Sufficiency Water Fund RC 18- 25 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% $0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 $7 201920202021202220232024As % of Exepnse (Target is for greater than 50%)MillionsChart 3 Water Fund Ending Unrestricted Net Position Ending unrestricted net position Ending unrestricted net position as % of expense Revenue Sufficiency Water Fund RC 18- 26 $0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 $7 $8 201920202021202220232024MillionsChart 4 Water Fund Revenue and Expense Revenue Expense Revenue Sufficiency Water Fund RC 18- 27 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 201920202021202220232024Total Customer Units (ERU)Annual Water Volume Billed (1,000 Gal)Chart 5 Water Fund Customers and Annual Water Volume Billed Total Water Volume Billed (1,000 of gallons) Total Average Number of Bills Per Year Revenue Sufficiency Water Fund RC 18- 28 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 2020202120222023202420252026202720282029MillionsChart 6 Sanitary Sewer Fund Projected Ending Cash Position Projected Cash Position With Projected Future Rate Adjustments Minimum Cash Position to Meet Minimum Requirements Difference between Projected Cash Position and Minimum Cash Position represents the net amount of cash projected to be available as reserves for future capital improvements. The Plan does not anticipate the issuance of debt to finance capital improvements, with the exception of projects in year 2021. Revenue Sufficiency Sanitary Sewer Fund RC 18- 29 $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 201920202021202220232024MillionsChart 7 Sanitary Sewer Fund Projected Ending Cash by Designated Purpose For future capital improvements For following year pay-go capital For Private Street Replacement For 3-months of operating cash For following year debt service Revenue Sufficiency Sanitary Sewer Fund RC 18- 30 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 201920202021202220232024As % of Exepnse (Target is for Greater than 50%)MillionsChart 8 Sanitary Sewer Fund Ending Unrestricted Net Position Ending unrestricted net position Ending unrestricted net position as % of expense Revenue Sufficiency Sanitary Sewer Fund RC 18- 31 $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 201920202021202220232024MillionsChart 9 Sanitary Sewer Fund Revenue and Expense Revenue Expense Revenue Sufficiency Sanitary Sewer Fund RC 18- Volume Billed 32 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 2/1/20173/1/20174/1/20175/1/20176/1/20177/1/20178/1/20179/1/201710/1/201711/1/201712/1/20171/1/20182/1/20183/1/20184/1/20185/1/20186/1/20187/1/20188/1/20189/1/201810/1/201811/1/201812/1/20181/1/20192/1/2019ThousandsVolume (Gallons) Billed by Billing Period Sanitary Sewer Water RC 18- Customer Examples 33 Note: Based on 2018 billing data, average annual. Sanitary Sewer average volumes are lower due to the cap on volume pursuant to ordinance. Water Customers Percentile of All Customers Water Usage Units (Gallons) Per Billing Period Low Volume Customer 20%8,000 Medium Volume Customer 50%18,000 High Volume Customer 80%78,000 Sanitary Sewer Customers Percentile of All Customers Volume Billed Units (Gallons) Per Billing Period Low Volume Customer 20%7,000 Medium Volume Customer 50%12,000 High Volume Customer 80%47,000 RC 18- Water Customers 34 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Low Volume Customer $44 $45 $46 $48 $47 $48 $49 $49 Medium Volume Customer $89 $92 $94 $98 $87 $88 $89 $91 High Volume Customer $452 $466 $479 $503 $530 $538 $546 $554 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 BiMonthly AmountChart 25 Water Customers RC 18- Water Customers 35 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Low Volume Customer 2.6%2.5%4.2%-1.5%1.5%1.5%1.5% Medium Volume Customer 2.8%2.8%4.6%-12.0%1.5%1.5%1.5% High Volume Customer 3.0%2.9%4.9%5.4%1.5%1.5%1.5% -14.0% -12.0% -10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%Annual % Change in Average BiMonthly AmountChart 26 Water Customers RC 18- Sanitary Sewer Customers 36 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Low Volume Customer $26 $28 $31 $35 $35 $35 $36 $37 Medium Volume Customer $40 $43 $48 $54 $48 $49 $50 $51 High Volume Customer $134 $146 $167 $190 $210 $215 $219 $223 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 BiMonthly AmountChart 27 Sewer Customers RC 18- Sanitary Sewer Customers 37 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Low Volume Customer 6.6%11.2%11.2%-0.7%2.0%2.0%2.0% Medium Volume Customer 7.5%12.6%12.5%-11.4%2.0%2.0%2.0% High Volume Customer 8.8%14.5%14.1%10.6%2.0%2.0%2.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%Annual % Change in Average BiMonthly AmountChart 28 Sewer Customers RC 18-Comparison of Rates Water 38 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 White Bear LakeCottage GroveRosemountChanhassenLino LakesFarmingtonChamplinAndoverChaskaSavagePrior LakeChart 20 Comparison of Municipalities Water Services Low Volume (4,000 gallons) Monthly Water Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Comparison of Rates Water 39 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 White Bear LakeCottage GroveRosemountFarmingtonChanhassenLino LakesChamplinAndoverChaskaSavagePrior LakeChart 21 Comparison of Municipalities Water Services Medium Volume (9,000 gallons) Monthly Water Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Comparison of Rates Water 40 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 RosemountLino LakesFarmingtonWhite Bear LakeAndoverChanhassenChamplinCottage GroveChaskaSavagePrior LakeChart 22 Comparison of Municipalities Water Services High Volume (40,000 gallons) Monthly Water Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Comparison of Rates Sanitary Sewer 41 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 SavageChanhassenWhite Bear LakeFarmingtonRosemountPrior LakeCottage GroveLino LakesChaskaAndoverChamplinChart 20.1 Sanitary Sewer Services Comparison of Municipalities Low Volume (3,500 gallons) Monthly Sewer Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Comparison of Rates Sanitary Sewer 42 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 White Bear LakeFarmingtonChanhassenSavageLino LakesAndoverRosemountPrior LakeCottage GroveChamplinChaskaChart 21.1 Comparison of Municipalities Sanitary Sewer Services Medium Volume (6,500 gallons) Monthly Sewer Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Comparison of Rates Sanitary Sewer 43 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 AndoverLino LakesSavageFarmingtonChamplinRosemountPrior LakeCottage GroveWhite Bear LakeChanhassenChaskaChart 22.1 Comparison of Municipalities Sanitary Sewer Services High Volume (24,500 gallons) Monthly Sewer Bill Based on Current Published Rate Schedules RC 18-Capital Improvement Plan Water Fund 44201920202021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5 $5.0 MillionsChart 29 Capital Improvement Plan Annual Project Costs Water Fund Capital funded from cash/non- bond sources Capital funded from bond proceeds ➢Replacement of aging infrastructure and build-out of the existing system is anticipated ➢Plan provides for pay-go approach versus debt issuance RC 18-Capital Improvement Plan Sanitary Sewer Fund 45201920202021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5 MillionsChart 30 Capital Improvement Plan Annual Project Costs Sanitary Sewer Fund Capital funded from cash/non- bond sources Capital funded from bond proceeds ➢Replacement of aging infrastructure and build-out of the existing system is anticipated ➢Plan provides for pay-go approach versus debt issuance RC 18- Debt Obligations 4620192020202120222023202420252026202720282029$0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 $7.0 $8.0 $9.0 $10.0 MillionsChart 31 Outstanding Bonds Payable From Water and Sanitary Sewer Funds (Includes Transfers to Governmental Funds for Debt Service Payable from Water Funds) Sanitary Sewer Fund Water Fund (Transfers for Debt) Water Fund RC 18- Debt Obligations 4720192020202120222023202420252026202720282029$0.0 $0.2 $0.4 $0.6 $0.8 $1.0 $1.2 MillionsChart 32 Annual Debt Service Payable From Water and Sanitary Sewer Funds (Includes Transfers to Governmental Funds for Debt Service Payable from Water Funds) Sanitary Sewer Fund Water Fund RC 18- Recommendations Focus on revenue sufficiency to meet objectives for cash balance Provide for rate calculation that results in equitable and competitive fixed versus variable portion charge to customers and considers conservation impact of tiers and block rates 48 RC 18- Next Steps November 4th Utility Study presented to Council December 2019, Council approves 2020 rates with no changes to rate structure (i.e., base rates and tiers) January 2020, recommendations from study reviewed at Council workshop (if needed) First quarter 2020, City staff to identify process/plan for communicating proposed new utility rate structure and impact to customers/public 49 RC 18- Next Steps Continued Third Quarter 2020, implement new billing system Third Quarter, update utility study as needed based on feedback from customers/public December 2020, Council approves 2021 rate structure and rates Future date/2021, after new billing system is functioning and new rate structure is in place, consider monthly billing cycle 50 RC 18- Northland Public Finance The public finance group of Northland Securities, Inc. 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 3300 Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 800-851-2920 www.northlandsecurities.com/public_finance Member of FINRA and SIPC | Registered with SEC and MSRB Thank You 51 Tammy Omdal 612-851-4964 tomdal@northlandsecurities.com